{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "aaf68bd4-5578-4a88-9185-2ff5a924c30a",
    "symbol": "MIB3L",
    "name": "SG ETC FTSE MIB +3x Daily Leveraged Collateralized",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.838,
    "architecture_energy": 59.354,
    "architecture_maturity": 93.123,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.072,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.3,
        "rotation_up": 54.32,
        "upward_expansion": 82.9,
        "deceleration": 68.33,
        "rotation_down": 27.88,
        "downward_expansion": 9.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 287.630005,
    "trend_reference": 213.392,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.347895,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 116.805603,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.462468,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 33.446245,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.582384,
    "excess_performance": 0.411493,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.347895,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.19015,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.462468,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.272174,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.334462,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088548,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.582384,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.719848,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1436,
      "relative_activity": 0.3115,
      "balance": 1.719848,
      "dry_up": 0.320611,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071914,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.552626,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011581,
      "from_low_reference": 1.162469
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 116.805603,
      "structural_low": 133.009995,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.037737,
        "positive_rate": 0.575,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.575,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023706,
        "regime_survival": 0.725,
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        "worst_return": -0.406782,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
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        "worst_return": -0.307725,
        "sufficient": true
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        "worst_return": -0.587423,
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        "worst_return": -0.386702,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 33.165285,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1730,
        "typical_volume": 7142.6,
        "trend": 203.908333,
        "fair_value": 112.599224,
        "relative_strength": 28.559787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 64.800733,
        "energy": 63.108052,
        "activity_lines": [
          265.944668,
          259.097635,
          237.85319,
          221.958666
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 6259.1,
        "trend": 206.914333,
        "fair_value": 113.902045,
        "relative_strength": 26.616338,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.280028,
        "energy": 57.261505,
        "activity_lines": [
          262.985336,
          260.526727,
          241.859,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 262.98999,
        "volume": 906,
        "typical_volume": 5532.0,
        "trend": 209.813999,
        "fair_value": 115.268006,
        "relative_strength": 26.862713,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.053176,
        "energy": 50.583257,
        "activity_lines": [
          262.928666,
          262.062544,
          245.850856,
          229.076558
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 287.630005,
        "volume": 1436,
        "typical_volume": 4609.95,
        "trend": 213.392,
        "fair_value": 116.805603,
        "relative_strength": 33.446245,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.838115,
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        "activity_lines": [
          270.388668,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}