{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aafe4af5-1529-4c4f-b50b-0a3ae3a0259d", "symbol": "HUDI", "name": "Huadi International Group Co Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.173, "architecture_energy": 54.066, "architecture_maturity": 40.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.187, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.29, "rotation_up": 17.63, "upward_expansion": 9.18, "deceleration": 44.3, "rotation_down": 65.91, "downward_expansion": 87.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.757816, 0.804109, 0.915898, 0.999221 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.7225, "trend_reference": 1.091598, "distance_from_trend": -0.338126, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.921986, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.624087, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.212873, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.368996, "excess_performance": -0.556449, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.338126, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106614, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.624087, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161579, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.472129, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242452, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.368996, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.061518, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25911034, "relative_activity": 13.694967, "balance": 0.061518, "dry_up": 3.463824, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.300234, "annualized_volatility": 0.532904, "from_high_reference": -0.867674, "from_low_reference": 0.094697 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.091598, "fair_value_reference": 1.921986, "structural_low": 0.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.051466, "positive_rate": 0.277778, "directional_follow_through": 0.694444, "median_excess_return": -0.072592, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 3.224359, "worst_return": -0.315789, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.133333, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.212833, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.633333, "worst_return": -0.651475, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.254777, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.344804, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.004963, "worst_return": -0.783914, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-10", "close": 0.8588, "volume": 299346, "typical_volume": 713141.35, "trend": 1.152597, "fair_value": 2.01628, "relative_strength": -39.954919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.816948, "energy": 52.831445, "activity_lines": [ 0.87536, 0.930198, 1.03948, 1.094838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.784, "volume": 49467, "typical_volume": 606874.5, "trend": 1.13573, "fair_value": 1.99137, "relative_strength": -42.159292, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.460163, "energy": 54.845285, "activity_lines": [ 0.840233, 0.891545, 1.006848, 1.071058 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.806249, "volume": 181687, "typical_volume": 598717.75, "trend": 1.123938, "fair_value": 1.966987, "relative_strength": -38.928203, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.798598, "energy": 51.86548, "activity_lines": [ 0.821283, 0.864502, 0.978458, 1.049801 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.7273, "volume": 72194, "typical_volume": 600559.15, "trend": 1.109848, "fair_value": 1.943444, "relative_strength": -44.69346, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.123768, "energy": 55.810919, "activity_lines": [ 0.784266, 0.83099, 0.945757, 1.024212 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.7225, "volume": 25911034, "typical_volume": 1892011.45, "trend": 1.091598, "fair_value": 1.921986, "relative_strength": -47.212873, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.172796, "energy": 54.06587, "activity_lines": [ 0.757816, 0.804109, 0.915898, 0.999221 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }