{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab27f7d1-fd13-409f-a42a-153788bfcbae", "symbol": "CKP", "name": "CK Power Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 91.569, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.642, "architecture_energy": 48.304, "architecture_maturity": 22.809, "architecture_confidence": 65.611, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.49, "rotation_up": 57.8, "upward_expansion": 77.78, "deceleration": 62.27, "rotation_down": 17.41, "downward_expansion": 6.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.569333, 2.538182, 2.450318, 2.399021 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.52, "trend_reference": 2.346142, "distance_from_trend": 0.074104, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.879997, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.124999, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.563158, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.147332, "excess_performance": -0.044993, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074104, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034979, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.124999, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071984, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.095632, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06813, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.147332, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.793274, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20641000, "relative_activity": 0.729423, "balance": 1.793274, "dry_up": 1.536424, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054335, "annualized_volatility": 0.301374, "from_high_reference": -0.128028, "from_low_reference": 0.233923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.346142, "fair_value_reference": 2.879997, "structural_low": 2.100067, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.022391, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.012265, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.067227, "worst_return": -0.050847, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.045454, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.069363, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.05291, "worst_return": -0.217391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.084387, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.159798, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.065074, "worst_return": -0.127118, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"gate": "up", "direction": 83.170848, "energy": 84.702813, "activity_lines": [ 2.574667, 2.484364, 2.39166, 2.357432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.54, "volume": 48804600, "typical_volume": 29390085.0, "trend": 2.330918, "fair_value": 2.887007, "relative_strength": -11.563465, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.006803, "energy": 75.36598, "activity_lines": [ 2.578667, 2.505455, 2.412125, 2.371287 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.58, "volume": 15779700, "typical_volume": 29108750.0, "trend": 2.339209, "fair_value": 2.884104, "relative_strength": -8.701776, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.420726, "energy": 71.746005, "activity_lines": [ 2.590667, 2.529455, 2.434854, 2.387357 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.52, "volume": 20641000, "typical_volume": 28297715.0, "trend": 2.346142, "fair_value": 2.879997, "relative_strength": -9.563158, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.641634, "energy": 48.30359, "activity_lines": [ 2.569333, 2.538182, 2.450318, 2.399021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }