{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab30e393-a4ec-43e6-8f4a-06989b9803f3", "symbol": "RABBIT", "name": "Rabbit Holdings Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.582, "architecture_energy": 34.207, "architecture_maturity": 32.702, "architecture_confidence": 58.176, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.5, "rotation_up": 46.36, "upward_expansion": 72.25, "deceleration": 65.98, "rotation_down": 19.5, "downward_expansion": 3.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.364667, 0.361273, 0.349381, 0.340409 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.36, "trend_reference": 0.326333, "distance_from_trend": 0.103166, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.417692, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.138122, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.079738, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.333333, "excess_performance": 0.141008, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.103166, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092634, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.138122, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173542, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030797, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.16701, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.333333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.172172, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26748300, "relative_activity": 0.430869, "balance": 8.172172, "dry_up": 1.60905, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102564, "annualized_volatility": 0.456815, "from_high_reference": -0.162791, "from_low_reference": 0.44 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.326333, "fair_value_reference": 0.417692, "structural_low": 0.26, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.009901, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.000428, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.137255, "worst_return": -0.253731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.17488, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.211777, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.346405, "worst_return": -0.377049, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.20406, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.264096, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.117647, "worst_return": -0.517986, "sufficient": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 0.361333, 0.358182, 0.343476, 0.334817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.37, "volume": 54195500, "typical_volume": 61210475.0, "trend": 0.323333, "fair_value": 0.418718, "relative_strength": -1.575122, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.279696, "energy": 35.965353, "activity_lines": [ 0.365333, 0.360909, 0.347, 0.338043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.36, "volume": 26748300, "typical_volume": 62079860.0, "trend": 0.326333, "fair_value": 0.417692, "relative_strength": -3.079738, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.582039, "energy": 34.206623, "activity_lines": [ 0.364667, 0.361273, 0.349381, 0.340409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }