{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab332cce-72fe-412a-ad1a-ec8b16df1eda", "symbol": "000929", "name": "Lanzhou Huanghe Enterprise Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.752, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.96, "architecture_energy": 60.32, "architecture_maturity": 13.5, "architecture_confidence": 80.716, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.63, "rotation_up": 12.37, "upward_expansion": 11.63, "deceleration": 42.0, "rotation_down": 67.29, "downward_expansion": 84.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.457333, 8.680182, 9.322238, 9.566882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.91, "trend_reference": 9.831667, "distance_from_trend": -0.093745, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.270769, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.077288, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.563286, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.109, "excess_performance": -0.1164, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.093745, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009584, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.077288, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.262601, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065633, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079847, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.109, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.985258, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17269377, "relative_activity": 1.03618, "balance": 0.985258, "dry_up": 1.295048, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098938, "annualized_volatility": 0.392481, "from_high_reference": -0.258735, "from_low_reference": 0.240947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.831667, "fair_value_reference": 8.270769, "structural_low": 7.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.025302, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.001847, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.230539, "worst_return": -0.189655, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.051724, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.038407, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.470687, "worst_return": -0.184426, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.077392, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.0554, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.420099, "worst_return": -0.208791, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008197, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.052693, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.03663, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.033526, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.197531, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.062745, 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"modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.473623, "energy": 77.903019, "activity_lines": [ 8.818667, 9.266182, 9.741905, 9.861419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.59, "volume": 26208947, "typical_volume": 16330135.55, "trend": 9.845, "fair_value": 8.285769, "relative_strength": -17.832392, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.326842, "energy": 84.391885, "activity_lines": [ 8.340667, 8.872, 9.51981, 9.713548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.49, "volume": 18908290, "typical_volume": 16683997.8, "trend": 9.828333, "fair_value": 8.277308, "relative_strength": -6.498383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.685554, "energy": 72.658639, "activity_lines": [ 8.307333, 8.710364, 9.396333, 9.626129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.91, "volume": 17269377, "typical_volume": 16666391.15, "trend": 9.831667, "fair_value": 8.270769, "relative_strength": -6.563286, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.959738, "energy": 60.320122, "activity_lines": [ 8.457333, 8.680182, 9.322238, 9.566882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }