{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ab3ba471-3d58-4a64-b368-9608ca00b2c4",
    "symbol": "JDC",
    "name": "JDC Group AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 71.24,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 35.397,
    "architecture_energy": 34.662,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.149,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.945,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.54,
        "rotation_up": 60.38,
        "upward_expansion": 41.72,
        "deceleration": 24.6,
        "rotation_down": 16.52,
        "downward_expansion": 23.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.026666,
        22.669091,
        22.257619,
        22.338064
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 24.0,
    "trend_reference": 22.816667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.051863,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 22.629167,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.060578,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.921153,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.0,
    "excess_performance": -0.06464,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051863,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063227,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060578,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045973,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119212,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015899,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.898748,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 38877,
      "relative_activity": 1.847204,
      "balance": 0.898748,
      "dry_up": 0.977982,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049679,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218997,
      "from_high_reference": -0.263804,
      "from_low_reference": 0.19403
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.816667,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.629167,
      "structural_low": 20.1,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.002833,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007918,
        "regime_survival": 0.529412,
        "best_return": 0.106849,
        "worst_return": -0.123737,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.004219,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029103,
        "regime_survival": 0.222222,
        "best_return": 0.139726,
        "worst_return": -0.237374,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.048668,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019369,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.325991,
        "worst_return": -0.190821,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.270042,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.05944,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.423313,
        "worst_return": -0.166667,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.144231,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025532,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.054622,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.148515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.034483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.074803,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.064407,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.087413,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.078571,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.082353,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.119691,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.076233,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 17.450001,
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        "typical_volume": 14160.7,
        "trend": 17.796667,
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        "relative_strength": -4.799257,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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      },
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          23.139524,
          24.02086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 22.6,
        "volume": 19521,
        "typical_volume": 41832.95,
        "trend": 25.16,
        "fair_value": 22.274679,
        "relative_strength": -13.511027,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.605906,
        "energy": 22.395135,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.64,
          22.376364,
          23.010952,
          23.843441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 21.700001,
        "volume": 58013,
        "typical_volume": 44355.95,
        "trend": 24.973333,
        "fair_value": 22.303526,
        "relative_strength": -15.433458,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.609783,
        "energy": 26.677399,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.386667,
          22.243637,
          22.810476,
          23.620215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 21.200001,
        "volume": 13530,
        "typical_volume": 44251.95,
        "trend": 24.696667,
        "fair_value": 22.328205,
        "relative_strength": -20.309685,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.831344,
        "energy": 38.72803,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.953334,
          22.067273,
          22.576667,
          23.376774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 21.1,
        "volume": 14790,
        "typical_volume": 42692.1,
        "trend": 24.356667,
        "fair_value": 22.345513,
        "relative_strength": -21.189377,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.466909,
        "energy": 50.982381,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.566667,
          21.896364,
          22.354286,
          23.144731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 20.4,
        "volume": 644,
        "typical_volume": 42246.4,
        "trend": 23.99,
        "fair_value": 22.364423,
        "relative_strength": -22.575086,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.32361,
        "energy": 68.446023,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.066667,
          21.614546,
          22.096191,
          22.889462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 21.0,
        "volume": 13415,
        "typical_volume": 42354.85,
        "trend": 23.736667,
        "fair_value": 22.378205,
        "relative_strength": -19.69672,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.04158,
        "energy": 71.370717,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.933334,
          21.465455,
          21.928572,
          22.696559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 21.6,
        "volume": 14318,
        "typical_volume": 41598.35,
        "trend": 23.616667,
        "fair_value": 22.402564,
        "relative_strength": -18.363873,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.940431,
        "energy": 60.975238,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.106667,
          21.434546,
          21.841429,
          22.55871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 22.299999,
        "volume": 1517,
        "typical_volume": 40320.35,
        "trend": 23.49,
        "fair_value": 22.429167,
        "relative_strength": -14.535248,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.911268,
        "energy": 37.033447,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.52,
          21.529091,
          21.84,
          22.473763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 22.9,
        "volume": 8483,
        "typical_volume": 39137.45,
        "trend": 23.32,
        "fair_value": 22.462821,
        "relative_strength": -15.823546,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.122106,
        "energy": 16.423258,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.06,
          21.734545,
          21.90381,
          22.435699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 22.799999,
        "volume": 17109,
        "typical_volume": 33042.95,
        "trend": 23.22,
        "fair_value": 22.497756,
        "relative_strength": -13.593187,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.124265,
        "energy": 20.149774,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.446666,
          21.921818,
          21.962857,
          22.402151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 22.299999,
        "volume": 6716,
        "typical_volume": 31287.6,
        "trend": 23.113333,
        "fair_value": 22.527564,
        "relative_strength": -14.408543,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -7.410873,
        "energy": 19.850187,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.506666,
          22.02,
          21.975238,
          22.342796
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.0,
        "volume": 7250,
        "typical_volume": 31052.25,
        "trend": 23.023333,
        "fair_value": 22.55641,
        "relative_strength": -16.139744,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -8.907075,
        "energy": 16.197875,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.379999,
          22.069091,
          21.967619,
          22.270968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.0,
        "volume": 29489,
        "typical_volume": 27668.15,
        "trend": 22.936667,
        "fair_value": 22.590385,
        "relative_strength": -13.845563,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 2.961162,
        "energy": 12.102952,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.56,
          22.294545,
          22.06619,
          22.269462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.0,
        "volume": 38877,
        "typical_volume": 21046.4,
        "trend": 22.816667,
        "fair_value": 22.629167,
        "relative_strength": -11.921153,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.397043,
        "energy": 34.662457,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.026666,
          22.669091,
          22.257619,
          22.338064
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}