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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.281, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.299, "architecture_energy": 72.106, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.915, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.43, "rotation_up": 71.46, "upward_expansion": 88.01, "deceleration": 51.06, "rotation_down": 19.08, "downward_expansion": 12.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.486667, 71.952543, 70.970123, 70.003882 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 74.019997, "trend_reference": 68.824378, "distance_from_trend": 0.075491, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 52.27481, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.415978, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.351799, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.127023, "excess_performance": 0.006602, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075491, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039961, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.415978, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023635, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.003518, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004371, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.127023, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.205001, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 418500, "relative_activity": 0.919063, "balance": 1.205001, "dry_up": 1.119511, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017369, "annualized_volatility": 0.129245, "from_high_reference": -0.001753, "from_low_reference": 0.319785 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.824378, "fair_value_reference": 52.27481, "structural_low": 63.16, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.637395, "energy": 57.062283, "activity_lines": [ 71.719335, 71.420592, 70.535728, 69.65151 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.019997, "volume": 418500, "typical_volume": 455355.0, "trend": 68.824378, "fair_value": 52.27481, "relative_strength": 0.351799, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.299131, "energy": 72.106307, "activity_lines": [ 72.486667, 71.952543, 70.970123, 70.003882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }