{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab4705fb-8bef-492f-84da-6037edd5c497", "symbol": "REKR", "name": "Rekor Systems Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.836, "architecture_energy": 44.599, "architecture_maturity": 69.313, "architecture_confidence": 93.419, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.75, "rotation_up": 22.07, "upward_expansion": 5.65, "deceleration": 50.32, "rotation_down": 49.14, "downward_expansion": 74.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.63216, 0.643896, 0.698565, 0.743537 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.6666, "trend_reference": 0.83442, "distance_from_trend": -0.201122, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.641548, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.59392, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -53.675647, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.290851, "excess_performance": -0.478305, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.201122, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.308023, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.59392, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089989, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.536756, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071013, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.290851, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.917876, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4468052, "relative_activity": 0.343085, "balance": 0.917876, "dry_up": 0.594849, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.161428, "annualized_volatility": 0.671764, "from_high_reference": -0.805088, "from_low_reference": 0.220879 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.83442, "fair_value_reference": 1.641548, "structural_low": 0.546, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.102513, "positive_rate": 0.323529, "directional_follow_through": 0.676471, "median_excess_return": -0.098082, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 2.276003, "worst_return": -0.350746, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.235681, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.251541, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.063882, "worst_return": -0.52381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.252901, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.229274, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.186275, "worst_return": -0.55, "sufficient": true }, { 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"regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.245902, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.395833, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.17422, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.471218, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.137255, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.151943, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.03352, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.193182, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.510298, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.222443, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.14, "volume": 5356422, "typical_volume": 2806072.15, "trend": 1.781667, "fair_value": 5.983644, "relative_strength": 84.845193, "stage": 1, "regime": 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"2026-07-31", "close": 0.6238, "volume": 3542455, "typical_volume": 13397180.85, "trend": 0.8682, "fair_value": 1.654134, "relative_strength": -54.877953, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.372076, "energy": 45.737594, "activity_lines": [ 0.62172, 0.645896, 0.706409, 0.756544 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6666, "volume": 4468052, "typical_volume": 13023175.85, "trend": 0.83442, "fair_value": 1.641548, "relative_strength": -53.675647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.836428, "energy": 44.598531, "activity_lines": [ 0.63216, 0.643896, 0.698565, 0.743537 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }