{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab4e0b02-4dc8-47b6-aaad-47ab7c59e1b2", "symbol": "BDT", "name": "Bird Construction Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.483, "architecture_energy": 60.931, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.832, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.17, "rotation_up": 58.81, "upward_expansion": 84.0, "deceleration": 68.36, "rotation_down": 23.81, "downward_expansion": 10.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.150987, 67.590501, 62.899298, 57.048623 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 67.440002, "trend_reference": 48.960946, "distance_from_trend": 0.377424, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.771435, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.519103, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 53.461761, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.160601, "excess_performance": 1.040179, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.377424, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.350004, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.519103, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104514, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.534618, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021449, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.160601, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.839879, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 975600, "relative_activity": 0.811006, "balance": 1.839879, "dry_up": 1.224843, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091785, "annualized_volatility": 0.416909, "from_high_reference": -0.141499, "from_low_reference": 2.067537 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.960946, "fair_value_reference": 26.771435, "structural_low": 29.157144, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.016685, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.012195, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.389809, "worst_return": -0.193205, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.107656, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.075887, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.742465, "worst_return": -0.246831, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.016142, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.020955, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 1.580257, "worst_return": -0.294759, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-17", "close": 76.467766, "volume": 1769100, "typical_volume": 1209870.0, "trend": 45.049368, "fair_value": 25.620751, "relative_strength": 87.545122, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.277038, "energy": 87.499419, "activity_lines": [ 68.864615, 65.066356, 58.902139, 52.802944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 70.69397, "volume": 1639300, "typical_volume": 1245295.0, "trend": 46.441819, "fair_value": 26.019672, "relative_strength": 70.101463, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.032735, "energy": 72.774596, "activity_lines": [ 70.217219, 66.538775, 60.635867, 54.457434 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.870003, "volume": 1509700, "typical_volume": 1217715.0, "trend": 47.704768, "fair_value": 26.395614, "relative_strength": 59.258913, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.89197, "energy": 65.620202, "activity_lines": [ 69.740305, 67.089047, 61.818868, 55.775382 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.440002, "volume": 975600, "typical_volume": 1202950.0, "trend": 48.960946, "fair_value": 26.771435, "relative_strength": 53.461761, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.483363, "energy": 60.93131, "activity_lines": [ 69.150987, 67.590501, 62.899298, 57.048623 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }