{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ab652ee5-37c1-4bf1-9dc3-9aa3da98a220",
    "symbol": "605399",
    "name": "Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.981,
    "architecture_energy": 83.402,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.295,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.064,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.51,
        "rotation_up": 8.34,
        "upward_expansion": 20.12,
        "deceleration": 37.02,
        "rotation_down": 79.57,
        "downward_expansion": 95.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.358,
        11.397818,
        12.626762,
        13.274065
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 10.75,
    "trend_reference": 13.937333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.22869,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 12.876547,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.165149,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.790494,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.287135,
    "excess_performance": -0.243931,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.22869,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054754,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.165149,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.237155,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.217905,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.168072,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.287135,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.778253,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21136061,
      "relative_activity": 0.801561,
      "balance": 0.778253,
      "dry_up": 0.995737,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.145045,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.565561,
      "from_high_reference": -0.447585,
      "from_low_reference": 0.205157
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.937333,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.876547,
      "structural_low": 8.92,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.037377,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026551,
        "regime_survival": 0.809524,
        "best_return": 0.213632,
        "worst_return": -0.219178,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.00822,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.172109,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.187282,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.344222,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 30206443.35,
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        "relative_strength": -23.478469,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -86.363252,
        "energy": 65.568203,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 27310921,
        "typical_volume": 29434843.15,
        "trend": 14.166333,
        "fair_value": 12.960274,
        "relative_strength": -30.553437,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -89.004342,
        "energy": 86.344932,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.91,
        "volume": 19954651,
        "typical_volume": 27089345.0,
        "trend": 14.029667,
        "fair_value": 12.914046,
        "relative_strength": -26.305135,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.72521,
        "energy": 87.124674,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.532,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.75,
        "volume": 21136061,
        "typical_volume": 26368638.95,
        "trend": 13.937333,
        "fair_value": 12.876547,
        "relative_strength": -21.790494,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.980785,
        "energy": 83.401963,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}