{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab783b0c-f3af-4e7b-a99e-7fe76e140da8", "symbol": "1234", "name": "Hey Song Corporation", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 48.553, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 0.487, "architecture_energy": 10.951, "architecture_maturity": 12.658, "architecture_confidence": 63.548, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.37, "rotation_up": 34.79, "upward_expansion": 32.52, "deceleration": 41.23, "rotation_down": 16.14, "downward_expansion": 40.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.733334, 33.580867, 33.412204, 33.589111 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 34.0, "trend_reference": 33.96812, "distance_from_trend": 0.000939, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.02562, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.056227, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -31.642105, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.032935, "excess_performance": -0.474308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000939, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022629, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.056227, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051071, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.316421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092088, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032935, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.309452, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 661963, "relative_activity": 0.863978, "balance": 2.309452, "dry_up": 0.949262, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02188, "annualized_volatility": 0.098806, "from_high_reference": -0.118897, "from_low_reference": 0.071612 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.96812, "fair_value_reference": 36.02562, "structural_low": 31.727896, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.002995, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.026829, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.024275, "worst_return": -0.032123, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.018156, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.041206, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.014458, "worst_return": -0.022189, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.011331, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.009392, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.07485, "worst_return": -0.034474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.010702, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009639, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.019608, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.006053, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.033215, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", 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11.06892, "activity_lines": [ 33.590001, 33.464375, 33.365719, 33.632925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.450001, "volume": 587260, "typical_volume": 760711.25, "trend": 34.024186, "fair_value": 36.030186, "relative_strength": -31.359296, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.830291, "energy": 12.494242, "activity_lines": [ 33.580001, 33.478749, 33.360746, 33.590672 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 34.0, "volume": 661963, "typical_volume": 766180.05, "trend": 33.96812, "fair_value": 36.02562, "relative_strength": -31.642105, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.48738, "energy": 10.950841, "activity_lines": [ 33.733334, 33.580867, 33.412204, 33.589111 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }