{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab7d9f3f-7712-42e0-8a3b-fe30805d9167", "symbol": "INDUSTOWER", "name": "Indus Towers Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.661, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.346, "architecture_energy": 47.308, "architecture_maturity": 18.959, "architecture_confidence": 78.171, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.5, "rotation_up": 17.4, "upward_expansion": 6.05, "deceleration": 48.67, "rotation_down": 60.3, "downward_expansion": 79.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 392.756669, 396.262727, 406.125951, 413.367956 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 386.0, "trend_reference": 422.776666, "distance_from_trend": -0.086988, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 346.416026, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114267, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.053706, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.129356, "excess_performance": -0.085647, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.086988, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010238, "read": "Falling" 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371.799988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.02035, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.003518, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.468562, "worst_return": -0.089924, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.024928, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.004063, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.251912, "worst_return": -0.188685, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.106056, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.056997, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.323868, "worst_return": -0.284649, "sufficient": true }, 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1.883425, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.998717, "energy": 60.845547, "activity_lines": [ 397.706665, 403.945453, 411.232379, 418.097741 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 391.100006, "volume": 25174663, "typical_volume": 23751860.25, "trend": 424.356666, "fair_value": 345.041346, "relative_strength": -1.802669, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.104236, "energy": 42.275549, "activity_lines": [ 396.000002, 400.195455, 408.843808, 415.84258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 386.0, "volume": 18869739, "typical_volume": 23777966.25, "trend": 422.776666, "fair_value": 346.416026, "relative_strength": -4.053706, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.345841, "energy": 47.308152, "activity_lines": [ 392.756669, 396.262727, 406.125951, 413.367956 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }