{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab839b9d-45f5-43c3-9703-f1ec0f2de5ee", "symbol": "G5EN", "name": "G5 Entertainment AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 48.228, "architecture_energy": 51.306, "architecture_maturity": 24.234, "architecture_confidence": 49.816, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.07, "rotation_up": 64.33, "upward_expansion": 59.59, "deceleration": 23.38, "rotation_down": 20.41, "downward_expansion": 17.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 66.420002, 64.935675, 62.52699, 61.475033 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 70.300003, "trend_reference": 63.739409, "distance_from_trend": 0.102928, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 101.432584, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.306929, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.298576, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.182558, "excess_performance": -0.244052, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102928, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119168, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.306929, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.23667, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.182986, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.300778, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.182558, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.828429, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44446, "relative_activity": 0.456684, "balance": 3.828429, "dry_up": 0.490535, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074841, "annualized_volatility": 0.735503, "from_high_reference": -0.297, "from_low_reference": 0.510785 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 63.739409, "fair_value_reference": 101.432584, "structural_low": 46.532108, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.070041, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": -0.055573, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.156965, "worst_return": -0.409586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.225403, "positive_rate": 0.1, "directional_follow_through": 0.1, "median_excess_return": -0.238193, "regime_survival": 0.1, "best_return": 0.094759, "worst_return": -0.429581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.197419, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.232521, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": -0.065902, "worst_return": -0.32244, "sufficient": 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{ "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.100809, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.02921, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.135436, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.036923, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.02226, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-08", 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"stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.088676, "energy": 12.415318, "activity_lines": [ 63.433334, 62.995541, 60.746821, 61.037537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.400002, "volume": 70788, "typical_volume": 99999.65, "trend": 64.542742, "fair_value": 102.064946, "relative_strength": -22.090671, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 18.499923, "energy": 19.679542, "activity_lines": [ 64.413335, 63.681519, 61.47881, 61.103597 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.300003, "volume": 44446, "typical_volume": 97323.25, "trend": 63.739409, "fair_value": 101.432584, "relative_strength": -18.298576, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.227597, "energy": 51.305599, "activity_lines": [ 66.420002, 64.935675, 62.52699, 61.475033 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }