{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab8daf4a-6362-436e-bdc2-2ba29e368549", "symbol": "INSG", "name": "Inseego Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -81.397, "architecture_energy": 89.464, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.588, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.38, "rotation_up": 9.95, "upward_expansion": 21.34, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 83.28, "downward_expansion": 99.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.626, 7.721455, 9.964762, 10.786441 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 5.51, "trend_reference": 11.445167, "distance_from_trend": -0.518574, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.319199, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.408747, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -59.753325, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.474237, "excess_performance": -0.66169, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.518574, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068198, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.408747, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.15858, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.597533, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.785648, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.474237, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.206155, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3808585, "relative_activity": 2.600056, "balance": 0.206155, "dry_up": 1.322741, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.359094, "annualized_volatility": 0.920978, "from_high_reference": -0.748402, "from_low_reference": 0.155112 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.445167, "fair_value_reference": 9.319199, "structural_low": 4.7701, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.127095, "positive_rate": 0.297297, "directional_follow_through": 0.702703, "median_excess_return": -0.104262, "regime_survival": 0.864865, "best_return": 0.883333, "worst_return": -0.380309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.286536, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.242961, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 1.6, "worst_return": -0.620635, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.471429, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.489751, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.701563, "worst_return": -0.52244, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.084043, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.205616, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.159582, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.092131, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.393939, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": 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"relative_strength": -36.961109, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.220868, "energy": 55.707807, "activity_lines": [ 9.357333, 10.453273, 12.035595, 12.104763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.49, "volume": 1182491, "typical_volume": 1257153.5, "trend": 11.847833, "fair_value": 9.340038, "relative_strength": -43.626603, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.032547, "energy": 71.03033, "activity_lines": [ 8.599333, 9.713273, 11.562048, 11.816688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.66, "volume": 1301701, "typical_volume": 1289835.05, "trend": 11.711833, "fair_value": 9.335923, "relative_strength": -48.890179, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.605824, "energy": 75.044234, "activity_lines": [ 7.804667, 8.978545, 11.032595, 11.481989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.03, "volume": 1457472, "typical_volume": 1324456.75, "trend": 11.609167, "fair_value": 9.326135, "relative_strength": -46.270756, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.651075, "energy": 78.959123, "activity_lines": [ 7.376667, 8.438545, 10.559381, 11.179935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.51, "volume": 3808585, "typical_volume": 1464808.9, "trend": 11.445167, "fair_value": 9.319199, "relative_strength": -59.753325, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.396792, "energy": 89.464205, "activity_lines": [ 6.626, 7.721455, 9.964762, 10.786441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }