{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ab951d0c-6269-4931-b142-f4ba73971840", "symbol": "KTB", "name": "Kontoor Brands Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.308, "architecture_energy": 30.763, "architecture_maturity": 45.035, "architecture_confidence": 46.004, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.4, "rotation_up": 41.22, "upward_expansion": 65.02, "deceleration": 63.88, "rotation_down": 23.6, "downward_expansion": 15.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 81.842, 82.285086, 78.50449, 75.877236 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 77.05, "trend_reference": 72.014636, "distance_from_trend": 0.069921, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 66.076086, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.16608, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.08486, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.166935, "excess_performance": 0.04131, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069921, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070069, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.16608, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000718, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050849, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006877, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.166935, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.254498, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3434321, "relative_activity": 0.939995, "balance": 1.254498, "dry_up": 0.871798, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100419, "annualized_volatility": 0.511757, "from_high_reference": -0.13388, "from_low_reference": 0.392056 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.014636, "fair_value_reference": 66.076086, "structural_low": 61.24076, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.016284, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.017686, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.175294, "worst_return": -0.296615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.025812, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.0135, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.282516, "worst_return": -0.231735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.081307, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.141909, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.419081, "worst_return": -0.18126, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 69.237858, "fair_value": 64.997445, "relative_strength": 9.132639, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.481676, "energy": 74.278305, "activity_lines": [ 83.568, 79.016272, 75.265457, 72.748461 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 85.57, "volume": 3735208, "typical_volume": 4096471.6, "trend": 69.985146, "fair_value": 65.310127, "relative_strength": 10.423583, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.529435, "energy": 72.195818, "activity_lines": [ 84.682667, 80.833328, 76.486129, 73.802148 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 83.54, "volume": 2933889, "typical_volume": 3844488.4, "trend": 70.704498, "fair_value": 65.598993, "relative_strength": 8.104592, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.646029, "energy": 62.126005, "activity_lines": [ 84.683333, 82.054815, 77.411872, 74.676655 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 83.74, "volume": 2637218, "typical_volume": 3755635.05, "trend": 71.476485, "fair_value": 65.859245, "relative_strength": 6.688898, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.501618, "energy": 45.211332, "activity_lines": [ 84.392667, 82.908488, 78.316613, 75.517655 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.05, "volume": 3434321, "typical_volume": 3653551.4, "trend": 72.014636, "fair_value": 66.076086, "relative_strength": -5.08486, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.307654, "energy": 30.762919, "activity_lines": [ 81.842, 82.285086, 78.50449, 75.877236 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }