{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "abaf8396-dcc0-40ae-9a66-f7f3b1cea962",
    "symbol": "BNR",
    "name": "Brenntag SE",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.482,
    "architecture_energy": 91.689,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.876,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.599,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.3,
        "rotation_up": 88.29,
        "upward_expansion": 97.9,
        "deceleration": 39.01,
        "rotation_down": 8.21,
        "downward_expansion": 19.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.393333,
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        56.879587
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 64.580002,
    "trend_reference": 55.034107,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.173454,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.90302,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.096378,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.825929,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.2025,
    "excess_performance": 0.028253,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173454,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066104,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096378,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10241,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008259,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048667,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.2025,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 36.11,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1658,
      "relative_activity": 5.057191,
      "balance": 36.11,
      "dry_up": 1.264298,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.038286,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.396214,
      "from_high_reference": -0.02653,
      "from_low_reference": 0.515068
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 55.034107,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.90302,
      "structural_low": 42.625159,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.018125,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021463,
        "regime_survival": 0.5625,
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        "worst_return": -0.067574,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.164772,
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.209244,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 59.475083,
        "relative_strength": -1.304441,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -4.040746,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 836.8,
        "trend": 51.008593,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 829.05,
        "trend": 51.299085,
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        "relative_strength": -7.011545,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 54.852975,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 830.5,
        "trend": 51.621699,
        "fair_value": 59.256321,
        "relative_strength": -10.952671,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 830.35,
        "trend": 52.030071,
        "fair_value": 59.210411,
        "relative_strength": -8.444968,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 33.850298,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 56.139999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 773.85,
        "trend": 52.310903,
        "fair_value": 59.152676,
        "relative_strength": -11.396424,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 773.85,
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        "relative_strength": -17.599944,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 687.6,
        "trend": 52.738374,
        "fair_value": 59.025354,
        "relative_strength": -15.151003,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.504609,
        "energy": 23.230048,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.990666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 56.279999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 632.15,
        "trend": 53.019036,
        "fair_value": 58.98637,
        "relative_strength": -13.246785,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 23.435838,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.258666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 56.32,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 631.95,
        "trend": 53.267484,
        "fair_value": 58.946483,
        "relative_strength": -11.489694,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.550003,
        "energy": 17.858844,
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          55.541333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 59.259998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 631.95,
        "trend": 53.644898,
        "fair_value": 58.929268,
        "relative_strength": -4.612773,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.333864,
        "energy": 34.882466,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.839999,
          56.430975,
          56.544406,
          55.39657
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 59.16,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 522.0,
        "trend": 54.038977,
        "fair_value": 58.897037,
        "relative_strength": -5.571403,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.465658,
        "energy": 57.661217,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.897333,
          56.896727,
          56.916392,
          55.752383
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 61.419998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 245.9,
        "trend": 54.489359,
        "fair_value": 58.899117,
        "relative_strength": -1.574474,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.718791,
        "energy": 79.966688,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.362666,
          57.772726,
          57.429624,
          56.228578
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.580002,
        "volume": 1658,
        "typical_volume": 327.85,
        "trend": 55.034107,
        "fair_value": 58.90302,
        "relative_strength": 0.825929,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.482383,
        "energy": 91.689049,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.393333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}