{ "ticker": { "uuid": "abbf70e8-04bd-4299-b12a-013cfecb29e3", "symbol": "XZW0", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World ESG UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.349, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.678, "architecture_energy": 61.464, "architecture_maturity": 19.071, "architecture_confidence": 87.718, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.81, "rotation_up": 59.27, "upward_expansion": 82.51, "deceleration": 55.82, "rotation_down": 24.69, "downward_expansion": 9.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.653, 55.250545, 54.765571, 53.797483 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 57.685001, "trend_reference": 52.833916, "distance_from_trend": 0.091818, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.113936, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307637, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.824631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.116628, "excess_performance": 0.065393, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.091818, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025536, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.307637, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016257, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.028246, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00976, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.116628, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.564207, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26321, "relative_activity": 0.609136, "balance": 1.564207, "dry_up": 0.715361, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020343, "annualized_volatility": 0.155248, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.237079 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.833916, "fair_value_reference": 44.113936, "structural_low": 46.630001, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"orange", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.013163, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.147296, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.040792, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.100085, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.049327, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.008848, "active": false 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"modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.472278, "energy": 44.846485, "activity_lines": [ 54.762333, 54.806181, 53.567369, 52.883521 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 55.299999, "volume": 41352, "typical_volume": 49147.95, "trend": 52.389917, "fair_value": 43.562254, "relative_strength": 2.195511, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.906422, "energy": 49.726492, "activity_lines": [ 54.951999, 54.915999, 53.842952, 53.080172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 54.514999, "volume": 26985, "typical_volume": 49627.85, "trend": 52.489583, "fair_value": 43.69368, "relative_strength": -0.188721, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.308334, "energy": 43.411761, "activity_lines": [ 54.841333, 54.850727, 54.02613, 53.217274 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.0, "volume": 48355, "typical_volume": 47231.55, "trend": 52.550083, "fair_value": 43.82009, "relative_strength": -2.295428, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.889625, "energy": 37.97188, "activity_lines": [ 54.571999, 54.693363, 54.145809, 53.31472 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.009998, "volume": 21983, "typical_volume": 43669.4, "trend": 52.662083, "fair_value": 43.956917, "relative_strength": -1.639654, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.983628, "energy": 37.104731, "activity_lines": [ 54.696332, 54.728726, 54.342499, 53.473424 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.685001, "volume": 26321, "typical_volume": 43210.35, "trend": 52.833916, "fair_value": 44.113936, "relative_strength": 2.824631, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.677631, "energy": 61.463582, "activity_lines": [ 55.653, 55.250545, 54.765571, 53.797483 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }