{ "ticker": { "uuid": "abcd2bff-c6df-4d0f-a965-f0e437d7577f", "symbol": "BHRB", "name": "Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.706, "architecture_energy": 67.243, "architecture_maturity": 21.405, "architecture_confidence": 76.217, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.15, "rotation_up": 72.45, "upward_expansion": 88.44, "deceleration": 47.74, "rotation_down": 13.65, "downward_expansion": 12.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.326, 71.110545, 68.39951, 66.98738 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 73.42, "trend_reference": 65.696762, "distance_from_trend": 0.117559, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.827989, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.291969, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.773618, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.071363, "excess_performance": -0.116091, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.117559, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036007, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.291969, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164573, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007736, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.145739, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071363, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.618484, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 644075, "relative_activity": 0.829391, "balance": 2.618484, "dry_up": 0.843585, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045739, "annualized_volatility": 0.20957, "from_high_reference": -0.022175, "from_low_reference": 0.334006 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.696762, "fair_value_reference": 56.827989, "structural_low": 59.576938, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.009829, "positive_rate": 0.40625, "directional_follow_through": 0.40625, "median_excess_return": -0.01807, "regime_survival": 0.65625, "best_return": 0.314514, "worst_return": -0.329254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.013301, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.019095, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.213641, "worst_return": -0.368636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.032595, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.048283, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.208642, "worst_return": -0.309395, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 750862.1, "trend": 64.616918, "fair_value": 56.343654, "relative_strength": 2.253516, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.170386, "energy": 80.018141, "activity_lines": [ 70.502667, 68.598364, 66.35538, 65.548108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 70.47, "volume": 547554, "typical_volume": 761790.15, "trend": 64.89856, "fair_value": 56.50099, "relative_strength": 2.44728, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.572195, "energy": 71.090461, "activity_lines": [ 70.736667, 69.261091, 66.897748, 65.925726 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 73.25, "volume": 633267, "typical_volume": 776287.4, "trend": 65.315803, "fair_value": 56.66851, "relative_strength": 5.763764, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.336513, "energy": 70.584492, "activity_lines": [ 71.566667, 70.265636, 67.668723, 66.464529 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 73.42, "volume": 644075, "typical_volume": 776564.2, "trend": 65.696762, "fair_value": 56.827989, "relative_strength": 0.773618, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.706281, "energy": 67.243266, "activity_lines": [ 72.326, 71.110545, 68.39951, 66.98738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }