{ "ticker": { "uuid": "abd4ae91-3c9e-47c6-ae80-360d42338bde", "symbol": "XIFR", "name": "XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.704, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.077, "architecture_energy": 21.115, "architecture_maturity": 57.492, "architecture_confidence": 73.116, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.67, "rotation_up": 34.67, "upward_expansion": 63.52, "deceleration": 84.01, "rotation_down": 27.38, "downward_expansion": 15.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.907333, 11.984182, 11.776286, 11.443204 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.44, "trend_reference": 11.008333, "distance_from_trend": 0.039213, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.173267, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.333848, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.946084, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.136048, "excess_performance": 0.010423, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039213, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081971, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.333848, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083852, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029461, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093124, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.136048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.771272, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4178351, "relative_activity": 0.862477, "balance": 0.771272, "dry_up": 1.140173, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085463, "annualized_volatility": 0.319721, "from_high_reference": -0.136604, "from_low_reference": 0.318732 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.008333, "fair_value_reference": 17.173267, "structural_low": 9.61, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.004577, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.011445, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.058493, "worst_return": -0.174054, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.105687, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.111831, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.098414, "worst_return": -0.217665, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.069124, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.07481, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.000943, "worst_return": -0.471581, "sufficient": 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"close": 12.15, "volume": 5846526, "typical_volume": 4536276.25, "trend": 10.727333, "fair_value": 17.991672, "relative_strength": 6.089925, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.727915, "energy": 43.202786, "activity_lines": [ 12.102667, 11.976182, 11.485381, 11.155849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.02, "volume": 4168433, "typical_volume": 4527157.2, "trend": 10.819667, "fair_value": 17.758317, "relative_strength": 6.33675, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.974171, "energy": 39.827699, "activity_lines": [ 12.108667, 12.004364, 11.575619, 11.239247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.54, "volume": 4298290, "typical_volume": 4556989.75, "trend": 10.920667, "fair_value": 17.552946, "relative_strength": 11.329364, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.969319, "energy": 42.808924, "activity_lines": [ 12.264, 12.121818, 11.708571, 11.350237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.9, "volume": 9449617, "typical_volume": 4765338.4, "trend": 10.978333, "fair_value": 17.357319, "relative_strength": 4.380838, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.062692, "energy": 32.393328, "activity_lines": [ 12.158, 12.096364, 11.768095, 11.413419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.44, "volume": 4178351, "typical_volume": 4844593.5, "trend": 11.008333, "fair_value": 17.173267, "relative_strength": -2.946084, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.077469, "energy": 21.114943, "activity_lines": [ 11.907333, 11.984182, 11.776286, 11.443204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }