{ "ticker": { "uuid": "abe2ae75-755f-4d02-b261-a193dc501909", "symbol": "AUB", "name": "Aubay Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.03, "architecture_energy": 42.431, "architecture_maturity": 35.35, "architecture_confidence": 68.095, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.02, "rotation_up": 40.87, "upward_expansion": 74.91, "deceleration": 68.19, "rotation_down": 27.45, "downward_expansion": 6.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.353333, 55.276364, 54.054762, 52.134362 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 56.799999, "trend_reference": 50.993231, "distance_from_trend": 0.113873, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.251766, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.313241, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.531492, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.072258, "excess_performance": 0.018947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.113873, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022654, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.313241, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090626, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.065315, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010251, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.072258, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.065176, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33316, "relative_activity": 0.90557, "balance": 2.065176, "dry_up": 1.073917, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049523, "annualized_volatility": 0.307911, "from_high_reference": -0.104231, "from_low_reference": 0.445802 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.993231, "fair_value_reference": 43.251766, "structural_low": 39.286155, "invalidation": "A 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"color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.06044, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.12297, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.086686, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.035363, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.098165, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.027778, "active": false }, { "regime": 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51.010256, "fair_value": 42.770721, "relative_strength": 7.612704, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.754962, "energy": 55.449182, "activity_lines": [ 55.993333, 55.164084, 51.70904, 50.909816 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 53.599998, "volume": 26142, "typical_volume": 41625.65, "trend": 51.008205, "fair_value": 42.839779, "relative_strength": 5.379999, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.074299, "energy": 45.96712, "activity_lines": [ 55.146666, 55.089007, 52.147809, 51.076896 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.400002, "volume": 29203, "typical_volume": 39218.8, "trend": 50.999487, "fair_value": 42.924016, "relative_strength": 4.943641, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.065162, "energy": 32.039468, "activity_lines": [ 54.386667, 54.894546, 52.531722, 51.231206 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.900002, "volume": 51458, "typical_volume": 38936.65, "trend": 50.998102, "fair_value": 43.022865, "relative_strength": 7.323133, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.616318, "energy": 29.698815, "activity_lines": [ 54.353334, 54.938182, 53.017539, 51.482852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.299999, "volume": 44061, "typical_volume": 39175.05, "trend": 51.003487, "fair_value": 43.130156, "relative_strength": 6.299173, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.267106, "energy": 28.416857, "activity_lines": [ 54.62, 54.987273, 53.496637, 51.760394 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.799999, "volume": 33316, "typical_volume": 36790.1, "trend": 50.993231, "fair_value": 43.251766, "relative_strength": 6.531492, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.029678, "energy": 42.43133, "activity_lines": [ 55.353333, 55.276364, 54.054762, 52.134362 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }