{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "abe90eaa-cec3-4ca9-9634-990f214bcf8d",
    "symbol": "AYUD",
    "name": "Allianz Ayudhya Capital Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.368,
    "architecture_energy": 87.559,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.542,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.139,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.68,
        "rotation_up": 79.99,
        "upward_expansion": 96.7,
        "deceleration": 42.34,
        "rotation_down": 9.92,
        "downward_expansion": 21.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        42.966667,
        41.904545,
        40.478389,
        39.379847
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 43.5,
    "trend_reference": 38.015357,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.144274,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.500958,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.38091,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.70478,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.227921,
    "excess_performance": 0.035596,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144274,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073472,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.38091,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.176609,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057048,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094474,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227921,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.31441,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 29200,
      "relative_activity": 0.467462,
      "balance": 2.31441,
      "dry_up": 1.099816,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.037135,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.159394,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022472,
      "from_low_reference": 0.436442
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.015357,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.500958,
      "structural_low": 34.228919,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.012579,
        "positive_rate": 0.586207,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.586207,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004675,
        "regime_survival": 0.827586,
        "best_return": 0.173653,
        "worst_return": -0.13554,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.015625,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003197,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.132353,
        "worst_return": -0.10329,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.079515,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.021906,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.198032,
        "worst_return": -0.092203,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.040003,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033991,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.297906,
        "worst_return": -0.17356,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2023-10-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.019868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.041096,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.027211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.035869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028777,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023077,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.036973,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.178956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
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        "return": 0.061644,
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "volume": 30100,
        "typical_volume": 113185.0,
        "trend": 34.460302,
        "fair_value": 30.656623,
        "relative_strength": -0.531647,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.464689,
        "energy": 35.867104,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.319354,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 114020.0,
        "trend": 34.60392,
        "fair_value": 30.68752,
        "relative_strength": -3.670662,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 57.039543,
        "energy": 40.477014,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 237000,
        "typical_volume": 121510.0,
        "trend": 34.744162,
        "fair_value": 30.723202,
        "relative_strength": -3.742579,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 57.857208,
        "energy": 45.320016,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 142800,
        "typical_volume": 113480.0,
        "trend": 34.967028,
        "fair_value": 30.770404,
        "relative_strength": 0.242392,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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          36.44201,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 111105.0,
        "trend": 35.173582,
        "fair_value": 30.813404,
        "relative_strength": -1.714914,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.739052,
        "energy": 64.576465,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.713574,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 70000,
        "typical_volume": 104790.0,
        "trend": 35.41347,
        "fair_value": 30.866715,
        "relative_strength": -1.028124,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 9500,
        "typical_volume": 80240.0,
        "trend": 35.645024,
        "fair_value": 30.918422,
        "relative_strength": -2.426299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 75.065522,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.640864
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 39.75,
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        "typical_volume": 78275.0,
        "trend": 35.884911,
        "fair_value": 30.971733,
        "relative_strength": -2.265865,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.253315,
        "energy": 74.642521,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 36.076217,
        "fair_value": 31.020538,
        "relative_strength": -2.03844,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 74890.0,
        "trend": 36.308835,
        "fair_value": 31.084853,
        "relative_strength": 2.533776,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.406462,
        "energy": 72.176545,
        "activity_lines": [
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          38.135233,
          37.39208
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 40.5,
        "volume": 17300,
        "typical_volume": 68960.0,
        "trend": 36.541807,
        "fair_value": 31.146871,
        "relative_strength": -1.116971,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.478697,
        "energy": 68.767806,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.016667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 40.0,
        "volume": 157800,
        "typical_volume": 67895.0,
        "trend": 36.758113,
        "fair_value": 31.201784,
        "relative_strength": -2.799353,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.173052,
        "energy": 56.122381,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.066667,
          39.772727,
          38.647723,
          37.885587
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 42.0,
        "volume": 67000,
        "typical_volume": 62495.0,
        "trend": 37.041085,
        "fair_value": 31.272117,
        "relative_strength": 0.946218,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.267501,
        "energy": 66.436766,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.75,
          40.25,
          39.053869,
          38.223774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.0,
        "volume": 123500,
        "typical_volume": 63620.0,
        "trend": 37.357391,
        "fair_value": 31.347561,
        "relative_strength": 2.971886,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.895799,
        "energy": 82.272079,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.616667,
          40.818182,
          39.531925,
          38.60822
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.5,
        "volume": 55100,
        "typical_volume": 63310.0,
        "trend": 37.682384,
        "fair_value": 31.42621,
        "relative_strength": 5.20875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.363117,
        "energy": 86.432595,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.4,
          41.404545,
          40.023812,
          39.004517
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.5,
        "volume": 29200,
        "typical_volume": 62465.0,
        "trend": 38.015357,
        "fair_value": 31.500958,
        "relative_strength": 5.70478,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.368245,
        "energy": 87.558797,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.966667,
          41.904545,
          40.478389,
          39.379847
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}