{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ac17283c-44c8-4bc2-94eb-f913752ee924", "symbol": "SX2", "name": "Southern Cross Gold Consolidated Ltd.", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -3.48, "architecture_energy": 7.23, "architecture_maturity": 37.741, "architecture_confidence": 41.405, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.84, "rotation_up": 32.77, "upward_expansion": 21.08, "deceleration": 37.36, "rotation_down": 21.65, "downward_expansion": 55.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.790667, 9.459455, 9.571238, 9.682323 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 11.2, "trend_reference": 9.895667, "distance_from_trend": 0.131809, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.735366, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.447895, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.951292, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.172775, "excess_performance": 0.109069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.131809, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015669, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.447895, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151696, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.159513, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015485, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.172775, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.960387, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1482805, "relative_activity": 1.489836, "balance": 2.960387, "dry_up": 1.027634, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113839, "annualized_volatility": 0.717914, "from_high_reference": -0.072848, "from_low_reference": 1.036364 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.895667, "fair_value_reference": 7.735366, "structural_low": 7.665, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.07, "volume": 738947, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.03, "volume": 1114293, "typical_volume": 1112726.9, "trend": 9.924, "fair_value": 7.668125, "relative_strength": 0.657719, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.571157, "energy": 41.085389, "activity_lines": [ 8.795333, 9.019455, 9.405571, 9.613419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.65, "volume": 755093, "typical_volume": 1073684.9, "trend": 9.858, "fair_value": 7.692593, "relative_strength": 4.22649, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.98734, "energy": 27.39631, "activity_lines": [ 9.064, 9.102182, 9.415667, 9.595742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.2, "volume": 1482805, "typical_volume": 995280.75, "trend": 9.895667, "fair_value": 7.735366, "relative_strength": 15.951292, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.480011, "energy": 7.229961, "activity_lines": [ 9.790667, 9.459455, 9.571238, 9.682323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }