{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ac1b9dc1-e888-4bde-8e98-b16346b14901", "symbol": "SNTG", "name": "Sentage Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 74.283, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.667, "architecture_energy": 19.986, "architecture_maturity": 12.085, "architecture_confidence": 60.187, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.75, "rotation_up": 23.07, "upward_expansion": 11.85, "deceleration": 49.52, "rotation_down": 47.69, "downward_expansion": 46.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.924, 2.004636, 2.045429, 2.030962 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.93, "trend_reference": 2.033857, "distance_from_trend": -0.051064, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.088126, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.075726, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.637131, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.063107, "excess_performance": -0.25056, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.051064, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004812, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.075726, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095168, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226371, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079558, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063107, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 18.733592, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 126480, "relative_activity": 0.219616, "balance": 18.733592, "dry_up": 4.08202, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.192361, "annualized_volatility": 0.621271, "from_high_reference": -0.848031, "from_low_reference": 0.221519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.033857, "fair_value_reference": 2.088126, "structural_low": 1.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.062201, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.058034, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.594059, "worst_return": -0.173333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.177778, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.249737, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.01676, "worst_return": -0.404432, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.02795, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.20231, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.251046, "worst_return": -0.120482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.260062, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.20766, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.26257, "worst_return": -0.228916, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.137097, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.079832, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.081731, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.099804, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.075419, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.118557, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 1.051136, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.273952, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.091346, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.019417, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.1025, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.19, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.154812, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.063107, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1.89, "volume": 38048, "typical_volume": 3962177.6, "trend": 2.215157, "fair_value": 8.30013, "relative_strength": -30.693981, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.864563, "energy": 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"trend": 2.05019, "fair_value": 2.093319, "relative_strength": -8.654699, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.619585, "energy": 14.11433, "activity_lines": [ 2.085333, 2.125909, 2.093293, 2.064427 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.64, "volume": 363502, "typical_volume": 571611.4, "trend": 2.038523, "fair_value": 2.089408, "relative_strength": -31.069169, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.843567, "energy": 22.884615, "activity_lines": [ 1.943667, 2.035455, 2.054885, 2.037963 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.93, "volume": 126480, "typical_volume": 575914.65, "trend": 2.033857, "fair_value": 2.088126, "relative_strength": -22.637131, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.666684, "energy": 19.98579, "activity_lines": [ 1.924, 2.004636, 2.045429, 2.030962 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }