{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ac5b13a5-0d31-48d9-93a0-dafb638e382d",
    "symbol": "FUD",
    "name": "First Trust Value Line Dividend ETF Common",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 55.089,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.346,
    "architecture_energy": 84.971,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.668,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.232,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.26,
        "rotation_up": 81.75,
        "upward_expansion": 94.58,
        "deceleration": 41.96,
        "rotation_down": 8.55,
        "downward_expansion": 18.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        38.028492,
        37.864689
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 39.470001,
    "trend_reference": 37.739495,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.045854,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.360987,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148686,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.248597,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.036107,
    "excess_performance": -0.084314,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045854,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01909,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148686,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055693,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052486,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046712,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036107,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.82,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.82,
      "dry_up": 1.840796,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017663,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11148,
      "from_high_reference": -0.0099,
      "from_low_reference": 0.119581
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 37.739495,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.360987,
      "structural_low": 36.244347,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.000564,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002718,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.044912,
        "worst_return": -0.062404,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.064848,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_excess_return": -0.007817,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.020382,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.003805,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.930099,
        "energy": 27.429484,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.548621,
          37.417943,
          37.541132,
          37.276319
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 36.912556,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 270.0,
        "trend": 36.89559,
        "fair_value": 33.77197,
        "relative_strength": -9.919782,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.196032,
        "energy": 10.596229,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.354354,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 36.703388,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 270.0,
        "trend": 36.930104,
        "fair_value": 33.810114,
        "relative_strength": -9.4116,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -4.552321,
        "energy": 14.700747,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.093613,
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          37.428524,
          37.267309
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 37.400608,
        "volume": 500,
        "typical_volume": 295.0,
        "trend": 36.974728,
        "fair_value": 33.858067,
        "relative_strength": -9.031567,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.805961,
        "energy": 14.333617,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.142896,
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          37.425143,
          37.297664
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 37.146713,
        "volume": 8600,
        "typical_volume": 725.0,
        "trend": 37.032547,
        "fair_value": 33.904995,
        "relative_strength": -10.038642,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 7.640717,
        "energy": 15.06439,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.119427,
          37.2252,
          37.391632,
          37.30876
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 36.837322,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 715.0,
        "trend": 37.083342,
        "fair_value": 33.94489,
        "relative_strength": -9.509068,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.322534,
        "energy": 26.191259,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.019641,
          37.155034,
          37.325849,
          37.296164
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.585846,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 730.0,
        "trend": 37.136723,
        "fair_value": 33.986759,
        "relative_strength": -8.686608,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.856682,
        "energy": 11.403533,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.214884,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 36.897205,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 680.0,
        "trend": 37.187869,
        "fair_value": 34.026377,
        "relative_strength": -10.086802,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.980163,
        "energy": 15.751832,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.135694,
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          37.313131
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 37.544811,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 680.0,
        "trend": 37.227051,
        "fair_value": 34.070027,
        "relative_strength": -8.192255,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.409011,
        "energy": 4.714681,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.259451,
          37.201722,
          37.277462,
          37.33616
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 38.577076,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 625.0,
        "trend": 37.314152,
        "fair_value": 34.120053,
        "relative_strength": -6.040942,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.506591,
        "energy": 42.714042,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.717684,
          37.450326,
          37.38233,
          37.423258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 38.078022,
        "volume": 1400,
        "typical_volume": 695.0,
        "trend": 37.377697,
        "fair_value": 34.16417,
        "relative_strength": -7.040523,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.168212,
        "energy": 56.612157,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.914207,
          37.5895,
          37.439261,
          37.47254
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.916435,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 675.0,
        "trend": 37.466884,
        "fair_value": 34.211072,
        "relative_strength": -4.576328,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.710572,
        "energy": 78.467202,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.307488,
          37.87097,
          37.578246,
          37.571814
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.447323,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 675.0,
        "trend": 37.538456,
        "fair_value": 34.254487,
        "relative_strength": -5.66426,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.199201,
        "energy": 74.751379,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.455692,
          38.030711,
          37.673084,
          37.635068
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.27,
        "volume": 7400,
        "typical_volume": 1025.0,
        "trend": 37.64241,
        "fair_value": 34.306312,
        "relative_strength": -2.953808,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.454158,
        "energy": 81.033831,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.774781,
          38.308323,
          37.846102,
          37.74678
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.470001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1005.0,
        "trend": 37.739495,
        "fair_value": 34.360987,
        "relative_strength": -5.248597,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.346195,
        "energy": 84.970902,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.045524,
          38.58831,
          38.028492,
          37.864689
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}