{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ac728cda-dc8d-4a73-9536-d26ffc6fccc9", "symbol": "002579", "name": "Huizhou CEE Technology Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.126, "architecture_energy": 29.836, "architecture_maturity": 68.107, "architecture_confidence": 54.053, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.41, "rotation_up": 14.12, "upward_expansion": 15.4, "deceleration": 72.91, "rotation_down": 62.52, "downward_expansion": 40.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.202667, 15.236546, 15.411191, 14.757204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.15, "trend_reference": 13.914, "distance_from_trend": 0.088831, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.988141, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.516799, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.068501, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.319686, "excess_performance": 0.312287, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088831, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.132908, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.516799, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115858, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.120685, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.207631, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.319686, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.102762, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 468196531, "relative_activity": 1.57721, "balance": 1.102762, "dry_up": 1.333869, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.233613, "annualized_volatility": 1.03556, "from_high_reference": -0.352564, "from_low_reference": 0.518036 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.914, "fair_value_reference": 9.988141, "structural_low": 9.98, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.033514, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.01454, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.361675, "worst_return": -0.156608, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.039111, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.084059, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.268551, "worst_return": -0.211472, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.196959, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.119015, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.29682, "worst_return": -0.284412, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 251152330.1, "trend": 13.81, "fair_value": 9.917308, "relative_strength": 22.406203, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.152044, "energy": 58.769736, "activity_lines": [ 19.404, 18.371273, 16.205333, 15.067247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.32, "volume": 360199486, "typical_volume": 262285791.85, "trend": 13.824333, "fair_value": 9.929103, "relative_strength": -6.020233, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.365716, "energy": 24.420442, "activity_lines": [ 17.143333, 17.499818, 15.97581, 14.971118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.17, "volume": 425101059, "typical_volume": 276430643.9, "trend": 13.846333, "fair_value": 9.943141, "relative_strength": -7.098072, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.804898, "energy": 17.925798, "activity_lines": [ 15.018, 16.618182, 15.733095, 14.864387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.85, "volume": 330344849, "typical_volume": 284006158.95, "trend": 13.815, "fair_value": 9.950705, "relative_strength": -15.48377, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.726502, "energy": 33.285582, "activity_lines": [ 12.996, 15.512727, 15.364095, 14.671075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.15, "volume": 468196531, "typical_volume": 296851148.7, "trend": 13.914, "fair_value": 9.988141, "relative_strength": 12.068501, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.126499, "energy": 29.83619, "activity_lines": [ 13.202667, 15.236546, 15.411191, 14.757204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }