{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ac7d6d48-9c3e-4012-a634-edc4f08e4727", "symbol": "WIHL", "name": "Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -46.301, "architecture_energy": 35.106, "architecture_maturity": 58.384, "architecture_confidence": 67.252, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.88, "rotation_up": 22.04, "upward_expansion": 10.98, "deceleration": 62.15, "rotation_down": 45.55, "downward_expansion": 69.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 77.893331, 77.847271, 79.536694, 80.983116 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 79.699997, "trend_reference": 83.104226, "distance_from_trend": -0.040963, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 88.68712, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.101335, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.589743, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.108365, "excess_performance": -0.169859, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.040963, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038113, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.101335, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046847, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.175897, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016578, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.108365, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.481589, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1975562, "relative_activity": 1.007299, "balance": 1.481589, "dry_up": 0.920494, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043094, "annualized_volatility": 0.242464, "from_high_reference": -0.165411, "from_low_reference": 0.071957 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 83.104226, "fair_value_reference": 88.68712, "structural_low": 74.349998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.010857, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": 0.007566, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.199723, "worst_return": -0.099303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.019021, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018491, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.252032, "worst_return": -0.127471, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.035365, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.007224, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.279473, "worst_return": -0.106217, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 78.026666, 78.903635, 80.688531, 82.226784 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 75.099998, "volume": 1423149, "typical_volume": 2014916.5, "trend": 83.801052, "fair_value": 88.629736, "relative_strength": -20.893634, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.883733, "energy": 56.392623, "activity_lines": [ 77.123332, 78.000908, 80.03351, 81.643186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 77.349998, "volume": 1807218, "typical_volume": 1990383.2, "trend": 83.480023, "fair_value": 88.65666, "relative_strength": -19.05862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.689461, "energy": 43.365361, "activity_lines": [ 77.146665, 77.645453, 79.655077, 81.226989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 79.699997, "volume": 1975562, "typical_volume": 1961247.4, "trend": 83.104226, "fair_value": 88.68712, "relative_strength": -17.589743, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.301342, "energy": 35.106328, "activity_lines": [ 77.893331, 77.847271, 79.536694, 80.983116 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }