{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ac7f5f7c-abfe-41be-ba27-701d690743f8", "symbol": "PAES", "name": "Invesco MSCI Europe ESG Climate Paris Aligned UCITS EUR Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.298, "architecture_energy": 61.704, "architecture_maturity": 51.574, "architecture_confidence": 73.351, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.93, "rotation_up": 52.89, "upward_expansion": 80.93, "deceleration": 67.26, "rotation_down": 27.91, "downward_expansion": 9.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 550.166667, 548.903636, 541.784526, 534.718982 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 560.0, "trend_reference": 527.448339, "distance_from_trend": 0.061715, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 458.524521, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.221309, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.74885, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.077648, "excess_performance": 0.026413, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061715, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030032, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.221309, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056317, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007488, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019147, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077648, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 125.85353, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3877, "relative_activity": 0.011315, "balance": 125.85353, "dry_up": 0.019263, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015156, "annualized_volatility": 0.160448, "from_high_reference": -0.002288, "from_low_reference": 0.186566 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 527.448339, "fair_value_reference": 458.524521, "structural_low": 481.838013, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.863541, "energy": 83.54769, "activity_lines": [ 549.05, 544.022729, 533.518933, 528.38479 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 542.6, "volume": 1262, "typical_volume": 345688.8, "trend": 523.33834, "fair_value": 455.504489, "relative_strength": 0.245587, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.406751, "energy": 71.052715, "activity_lines": [ 547.2, 544.750001, 535.141551, 529.7078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 544.25, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 342861.75, "trend": 524.668339, "fair_value": 456.435098, "relative_strength": -0.645041, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.841924, "energy": 55.377059, "activity_lines": [ 545.86, 545.357273, 536.925122, 531.05694 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 547.45, "volume": 21252, "typical_volume": 343924.35, "trend": 526.020006, "fair_value": 457.43622, "relative_strength": -1.238489, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.99423, "energy": 43.805212, "activity_lines": [ 545.906667, 546.112727, 538.869646, 532.526724 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 560.0, "volume": 3877, "typical_volume": 342637.2, "trend": 527.448339, "fair_value": 458.524521, "relative_strength": 0.74885, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.297909, "energy": 61.704215, "activity_lines": [ 550.166667, 548.903636, 541.784526, 534.718982 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }