{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ac91509a-d718-4ce3-81af-407efe751260",
    "symbol": "00678",
    "name": "Capital Nasdaq Biotechnology Index Exchange Traded Fund",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.946,
    "architecture_energy": 64.951,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.142,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.187,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.82,
        "rotation_up": 65.5,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 63.79,
        "rotation_down": 18.41,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.862,
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        37.838516
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 41.0,
    "trend_reference": 36.949,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.109638,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.818718,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.374975,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -12.032178,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.15363,
    "excess_performance": -0.225682,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109638,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051021,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.374975,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136839,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120322,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110933,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15363,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.839785,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1879303,
      "relative_activity": 1.344995,
      "balance": 1.839785,
      "dry_up": 1.474574,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031407,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.167676,
      "from_high_reference": -0.031877,
      "from_low_reference": 0.58118
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.949,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.818718,
      "structural_low": 34.099998,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.001111,
        "positive_rate": 0.458333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.458333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009719,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.126429,
        "worst_return": -0.064631,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.072768,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.234375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.173177,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 29.324872,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -13.289823,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 92.915553,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.279999,
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        "typical_volume": 1287475.25,
        "trend": 36.347667,
        "fair_value": 29.527436,
        "relative_strength": -11.281716,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.266696,
        "energy": 88.496847,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.563333,
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          37.581429,
          37.012344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.41,
        "volume": 2780428,
        "typical_volume": 1369372.1,
        "trend": 36.554667,
        "fair_value": 29.623077,
        "relative_strength": -12.730559,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.865452,
        "energy": 87.840732,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.75,
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          37.928191,
          37.27443
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.040001,
        "volume": 1558148,
        "typical_volume": 1367858.1,
        "trend": 36.742,
        "fair_value": 29.719808,
        "relative_strength": -9.996213,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.251993,
        "energy": 85.946202,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.890667,
          39.923819,
          38.313667,
          37.563807
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.0,
        "volume": 1879303,
        "typical_volume": 1397256.5,
        "trend": 36.949,
        "fair_value": 29.818718,
        "relative_strength": -12.032178,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.946078,
        "energy": 64.950567,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.862,
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          37.838516
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}