{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ac9f3a12-e6fd-4998-a72e-c0117566e012", "symbol": "300536", "name": "Wuhan Nusun Landscape Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 66.57, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.935, "architecture_energy": 37.827, "architecture_maturity": 6.788, "architecture_confidence": 63.926, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.6, "rotation_up": 16.6, "upward_expansion": 21.02, "deceleration": 53.27, "rotation_down": 60.03, "downward_expansion": 48.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.112667, 8.436909, 9.221, 9.21443 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.88, "trend_reference": 9.200667, "distance_from_trend": -0.034853, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.58, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.160681, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.113768, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.038961, "excess_performance": -0.046361, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.034853, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028084, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.160681, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178961, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051138, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054132, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.038961, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.983767, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56712584, "relative_activity": 0.934662, "balance": 0.983767, "dry_up": 0.876024, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.184511, "annualized_volatility": 0.656563, "from_high_reference": -0.397966, "from_low_reference": 0.383178 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.200667, "fair_value_reference": 10.58, "structural_low": 6.42, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.130043, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.098587, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.007581, "worst_return": -0.267666, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.189033, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.065181, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.091598, "worst_return": -0.469665, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.225171, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.255807, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.011371, "worst_return": -0.438972, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.20086, 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"2025-05-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.271261, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.153333, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.091837, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.018476, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.07818, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.039282, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 8.97, "volume": 120278551, "typical_volume": 58781671.0, "trend": 9.122667, "fair_value": 10.752308, "relative_strength": -11.804951, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.575859, "energy": 16.632132, "activity_lines": [ 9.128, 9.772909, 9.77881, 9.526839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.83, "volume": 60754386, "typical_volume": 60289204.45, "trend": 9.128333, "fair_value": 10.70968, "relative_strength": -14.781404, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.239363, "energy": 28.405681, "activity_lines": [ 8.662667, 9.294545, 9.624095, 9.443441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.22, "volume": 45214000, "typical_volume": 59278225.95, "trend": 9.125, "fair_value": 10.662821, "relative_strength": -21.037212, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.489065, "energy": 39.032264, "activity_lines": [ 8.112667, 8.766182, 9.414762, 9.320323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.75, "volume": 49937629, "typical_volume": 60247977.4, "trend": 9.146333, "fair_value": 10.620128, "relative_strength": -13.377165, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.24229, "energy": 44.517797, "activity_lines": [ 7.892667, 8.446909, 9.262571, 9.231613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.88, "volume": 56712584, "typical_volume": 60677136.35, "trend": 9.200667, "fair_value": 10.58, "relative_strength": -5.113768, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.935482, "energy": 37.82695, "activity_lines": [ 8.112667, 8.436909, 9.221, 9.21443 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }