{ "ticker": { "uuid": "aca76fd9-3ef1-4446-a40c-7b4d01b9ffde", "symbol": "V2EE34", "name": "Veeva Systems Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 65.493, "architecture_energy": 81.01, "architecture_maturity": 27.17, "architecture_confidence": 63.112, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.66, "rotation_up": 78.14, "upward_expansion": 65.09, "deceleration": 24.94, "rotation_down": 16.22, "downward_expansion": 25.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.340001, 32.111818, 30.026905, 29.802065 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 36.150002, "trend_reference": 30.387667, "distance_from_trend": 0.189627, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.340449, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.057131, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.36887, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.129335, "excess_performance": 0.186383, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.189627, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129775, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.057131, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.228317, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.103689, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.370544, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.129335, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 22.684855, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8506, "relative_activity": 7.451599, "balance": 22.684855, "dry_up": 2.469777, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045707, "annualized_volatility": 0.503985, "from_high_reference": -0.333641, "from_low_reference": 0.437948 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.387667, "fair_value_reference": 38.340449, "structural_low": 25.139999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.00202, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.09188, "worst_return": -0.044763, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.096263, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.08691, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.234776, "worst_return": 0.049536, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.089886, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.029026, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.211271, "worst_return": -0.09257, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.203687, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.152802, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.408921, "worst_return": -0.001548, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.089744, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111791, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-12-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.017162, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.049968, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.059934, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.06505, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.05566, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.020388, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.026371, "active": false 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 19.186703, "energy": 29.07068, "activity_lines": [ 29.473334, 28.232182, 28.004762, 29.239635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 32.43, "volume": 16, "typical_volume": 2050.0, "trend": 31.515667, "fair_value": 38.311218, "relative_strength": -26.839438, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 27.105533, "energy": 46.089761, "activity_lines": [ 30.738, 29.137819, 28.372953, 29.281828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 33.209999, "volume": 2535, "typical_volume": 2173.75, "trend": 31.250667, "fair_value": 38.319295, "relative_strength": -22.064956, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.510954, "energy": 75.90666, "activity_lines": [ 31.913333, 30.064182, 28.801667, 29.39114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.5, "volume": 236, "typical_volume": 717.0, "trend": 30.928667, "fair_value": 38.31641, "relative_strength": -24.903995, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.468818, "energy": 69.656706, "activity_lines": [ 32.149333, 30.574909, 29.052667, 29.407226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 716.2, "trend": 30.601334, "fair_value": 38.313526, "relative_strength": -25.276251, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.396445, "energy": 69.836931, "activity_lines": [ 32.048, 30.975636, 29.317476, 29.444086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.150002, "volume": 8506, "typical_volume": 1141.5, "trend": 30.387667, "fair_value": 38.340449, "relative_strength": -10.36887, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 65.492589, "energy": 81.009572, "activity_lines": [ 33.340001, 32.111818, 30.026905, 29.802065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }