{ "ticker": { "uuid": "acbc7fba-d04d-4efe-845f-8674278ab0e6", "symbol": "XZMU", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA ESG UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.137, "architecture_energy": 63.769, "architecture_maturity": 69.887, "architecture_confidence": 73.001, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.01, "rotation_up": 52.8, "upward_expansion": 81.64, "deceleration": 70.6, "rotation_down": 28.59, "downward_expansion": 10.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.772002, 70.432729, 69.497954, 67.967765 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 72.910004, "trend_reference": 66.329334, "distance_from_trend": 0.099212, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 57.238814, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.273786, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.165982, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.14837, "excess_performance": 0.08373, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099212, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031683, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.273786, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037259, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.04166, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047863, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.14837, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.017045, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81715, "relative_activity": 0.748316, "balance": 3.017045, "dry_up": 0.694655, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019719, "annualized_volatility": 0.139263, "from_high_reference": -0.003962, "from_low_reference": 0.240599 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 66.329334, "fair_value_reference": 57.238814, "structural_low": 58.77, 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66.432065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 70.900002, "volume": 122528, "typical_volume": 115942.9, "trend": 65.583667, "fair_value": 56.540385, "relative_strength": 7.331152, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.8481, "energy": 74.02798, "activity_lines": [ 70.337335, 70.006911, 68.082144, 66.790409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 69.690002, "volume": 92255, "typical_volume": 117408.8, "trend": 65.762667, "fair_value": 56.71125, "relative_strength": 6.197213, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.476505, "energy": 68.133241, "activity_lines": [ 70.209335, 70.009638, 68.416763, 67.055334 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 69.290001, "volume": 67149, "typical_volume": 112071.65, "trend": 65.915001, "fair_value": 56.874808, "relative_strength": 4.213516, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.887875, "energy": 57.597451, "activity_lines": [ 69.917335, 69.907456, 68.679239, 67.282904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 69.720001, "volume": 62302, "typical_volume": 110095.15, "trend": 66.099667, "fair_value": 57.045289, "relative_strength": 2.530781, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.895535, "energy": 46.317873, "activity_lines": [ 69.818668, 69.881093, 68.954049, 67.528388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 72.910004, "volume": 81715, "typical_volume": 109198.5, "trend": 66.329334, "fair_value": 57.238814, "relative_strength": 4.165982, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.137107, "energy": 63.769001, "activity_lines": [ 70.772002, 70.432729, 69.497954, 67.967765 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }