{ "ticker": { "uuid": "acc37974-3504-4e29-bab1-63efe6b5da55", "symbol": "USLP", "name": "ISHARES IV PLC IS MSCI USA LEAD", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.783, "architecture_energy": 61.42, "architecture_maturity": 65.72, "architecture_confidence": 81.484, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.5, "rotation_up": 48.67, "upward_expansion": 73.37, "deceleration": 91.49, "rotation_down": 29.88, "downward_expansion": 20.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.791983, 4.790144, 4.737951, 4.641095 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.91225, "trend_reference": 4.531594, "distance_from_trend": 0.084001, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.168062, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.178545, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.242549, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.139205, "excess_performance": 0.087969, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084001, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033302, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.178545, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046124, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.022425, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012821, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.139205, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.753569, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1830, "relative_activity": 0.582858, "balance": 5.753569, "dry_up": 0.539383, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01474, "annualized_volatility": 0.123328, "from_high_reference": -0.142084, "from_low_reference": 0.238794 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.531594, "fair_value_reference": 4.168062, "structural_low": 4.07425, "invalidation": "A sustained loss 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"relative_strength": -0.042902, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.040749, "energy": 55.386984, "activity_lines": [ 4.760583, 4.774201, 4.693949, 4.601459 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.7205, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3485.95, "trend": 4.515752, "fair_value": 4.16006, "relative_strength": -1.389201, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.199765, "energy": 44.857491, "activity_lines": [ 4.741833, 4.764714, 4.70791, 4.615515 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.91225, "volume": 1830, "typical_volume": 3139.7, "trend": 4.531594, "fair_value": 4.168062, "relative_strength": 2.242549, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.782984, "energy": 61.419825, "activity_lines": [ 4.791983, 4.790144, 4.737951, 4.641095 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }