{ "ticker": { "uuid": "acc5487e-1772-41cc-b8d6-c40d1bdfbe8e", "symbol": "002122", "name": "HuiZhou Intelligence Technology Group Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.419, "architecture_energy": 48.145, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.525, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.08, "rotation_up": 22.76, "upward_expansion": 7.24, "deceleration": 59.69, "rotation_down": 49.09, "downward_expansion": 75.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.389333, 2.407091, 2.552143, 2.663011 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.49, "trend_reference": 2.804, "distance_from_trend": -0.111983, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.395769, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.266735, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.96421, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.178218, "excess_performance": -0.185618, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.111983, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077632, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.266735, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098096, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.239642, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094248, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.178218, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.327904, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80562202, "relative_activity": 1.164223, "balance": 0.327904, "dry_up": 1.096184, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082793, "annualized_volatility": 0.367522, "from_high_reference": -0.455142, "from_low_reference": 0.180095 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.804, "fair_value_reference": 3.395769, "structural_low": 2.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.019292, "positive_rate": 0.269231, "directional_follow_through": 0.730769, "median_excess_return": -0.035927, "regime_survival": 0.884615, "best_return": 0.301205, "worst_return": -0.194215, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.09743, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.088832, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.386139, "worst_return": -0.350482, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.111855, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.110107, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.147929, "worst_return": -0.187151, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -29.62135, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.805671, "energy": 61.361371, "activity_lines": [ 2.352667, 2.432727, 2.605714, 2.714688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.37, "volume": 60988900, "typical_volume": 69873841.55, "trend": 2.821, "fair_value": 3.40391, "relative_strength": -24.896901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.129397, "energy": 55.96404, "activity_lines": [ 2.356667, 2.404545, 2.571667, 2.684366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.49, "volume": 80562202, "typical_volume": 69198236.3, "trend": 2.804, "fair_value": 3.395769, "relative_strength": -23.96421, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.41916, "energy": 48.144932, "activity_lines": [ 2.389333, 2.407091, 2.552143, 2.663011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }