{ "ticker": { "uuid": "acd24237-3965-4c70-b8d9-2fcd17179b79", "symbol": "TXN", "name": "Texas Instruments Incorporated", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.335, "architecture_energy": 27.175, "architecture_maturity": 71.991, "architecture_confidence": 92.121, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.59, "rotation_up": 21.75, "upward_expansion": 56.34, "deceleration": 91.15, "rotation_down": 34.81, "downward_expansion": 20.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 245.65317, 252.159058, 251.382754, 236.84217 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 247.149994, "trend_reference": 217.295599, "distance_from_trend": 0.137391, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 167.93914, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.471664, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.808386, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.32723, "excess_performance": 0.152983, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.137391, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.202163, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.471664, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080706, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.088084, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17363, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.32723, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.217979, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 631, "relative_activity": 2.146624, "balance": 1.217979, "dry_up": 1.496853, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067535, "annualized_volatility": 0.412843, "from_high_reference": -0.132198, "from_low_reference": 0.890519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 217.295599, "fair_value_reference": 167.93914, "structural_low": 160.112638, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.051174, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.016267, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.361444, "worst_return": -0.04343, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.200014, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.148096, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.718572, "worst_return": -0.009334, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.056049, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.040767, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.248003, "worst_return": 0.031369, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.164302, "energy": 62.849996, "activity_lines": [ 266.306069, 264.822206, 245.911679, 228.067927 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 245.0793, "volume": 293, "typical_volume": 234.4, "trend": 208.23171, "fair_value": 165.989146, "relative_strength": 13.508604, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.400979, "energy": 41.751011, "activity_lines": [ 259.189432, 261.561241, 247.918334, 230.650386 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 243.588257, "volume": 369, "typical_volume": 245.9, "trend": 211.413808, "fair_value": 166.598516, "relative_strength": 10.950161, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.896595, "energy": 32.643962, "activity_lines": [ 252.657159, 258.046827, 249.456103, 232.931454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 239.300003, "volume": 467, "typical_volume": 262.55, "trend": 214.420096, "fair_value": 167.236872, "relative_strength": 8.776225, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.254061, "energy": 25.203633, "activity_lines": [ 247.032918, 254.112943, 250.218541, 234.730563 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 247.149994, "volume": 631, "typical_volume": 293.95, "trend": 217.295599, "fair_value": 167.93914, "relative_strength": 8.808386, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.335441, "energy": 27.175083, "activity_lines": [ 245.65317, 252.159058, 251.382754, 236.84217 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }