{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "acd2901f-25da-4137-b8cc-ecba6346180a",
    "symbol": "VALU",
    "name": "Value Line Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 59.642,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 48.72,
    "architecture_energy": 27.706,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.242,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.62,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.24,
        "rotation_up": 48.63,
        "upward_expansion": 65.66,
        "deceleration": 62.25,
        "rotation_down": 21.15,
        "downward_expansion": 15.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.553766,
        37.576697,
        36.255628,
        35.975147
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 38.47,
    "trend_reference": 35.911104,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.071256,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 39.148528,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.017332,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.839825,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.047116,
    "excess_performance": -0.140338,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071256,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000628,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017332,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112404,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078398,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13718,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047116,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.348024,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21108,
      "relative_activity": 1.679691,
      "balance": 2.348024,
      "dry_up": 1.189622,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.080269,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.330428,
      "from_high_reference": -0.057099,
      "from_low_reference": 0.202187
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.911104,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.148528,
      "structural_low": 32.0,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.025129,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016813,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.038864,
        "worst_return": -0.078096,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.212042,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.219421,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.190074,
        "worst_return": -0.229623,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.02097,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071919,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.195163,
        "worst_return": -0.153224,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.139319,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.367154,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.048816,
        "worst_return": -0.229822,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.010872,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.160515,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008925,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.099855,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.097876,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05098,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.04173,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027735,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.015686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.042671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.015022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.00132,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 13689.45,
        "trend": 44.870092,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      {
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        "energy": 37.524823,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 10627.4,
        "trend": 36.465136,
        "fair_value": 39.982845,
        "relative_strength": -17.961198,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 35.579677,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 34.74,
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        "typical_volume": 10094.3,
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        "direction": -56.238427,
        "energy": 33.035637,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 33.18,
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        "typical_volume": 9992.55,
        "trend": 36.233905,
        "fair_value": 39.850292,
        "relative_strength": -24.188908,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 44.011463,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 9205,
        "typical_volume": 9046.15,
        "trend": 36.060007,
        "fair_value": 39.784017,
        "relative_strength": -24.863555,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -71.821293,
        "energy": 65.283491,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 9206.25,
        "trend": 35.933672,
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        "relative_strength": -28.08042,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 32.49,
        "volume": 23045,
        "typical_volume": 9972.95,
        "trend": 35.78428,
        "fair_value": 39.647287,
        "relative_strength": -23.423886,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -68.772103,
        "energy": 73.308428,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 34.06,
        "volume": 11001,
        "typical_volume": 9901.85,
        "trend": 35.715364,
        "fair_value": 39.59777,
        "relative_strength": -20.98633,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 10274.75,
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        "fair_value": 39.531917,
        "relative_strength": -22.377914,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 36.476873,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 38.520855,
        "volume": 27509,
        "typical_volume": 11161.35,
        "trend": 35.713483,
        "fair_value": 39.509823,
        "relative_strength": -7.76535,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 0.57159,
        "energy": 12.245176,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.221618,
          34.402168,
          34.584076,
          35.055437
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 38.649654,
        "volume": 13027,
        "typical_volume": 11444.4,
        "trend": 35.774649,
        "fair_value": 39.491192,
        "relative_strength": -7.853434,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.207528,
        "energy": 38.079064,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 39.561156,
        "volume": 10716,
        "typical_volume": 11191.35,
        "trend": 35.848527,
        "fair_value": 39.474242,
        "relative_strength": -6.989156,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.711346,
        "energy": 55.269962,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.013797,
          36.10846,
          35.356775,
          35.489159
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.621272,
        "volume": 11278,
        "typical_volume": 11275.2,
        "trend": 35.916183,
        "fair_value": 39.415207,
        "relative_strength": -0.130248,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 52.092505,
        "energy": 74.034155,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.228777,
          37.12157,
          35.868561,
          35.797078
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.797598,
        "volume": 19094,
        "typical_volume": 11987.1,
        "trend": 35.930326,
        "fair_value": 39.339361,
        "relative_strength": -5.171668,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.909482,
        "energy": 63.571286,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.065114,
          37.514352,
          36.091242,
          35.918459
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.19,
        "volume": 8318,
        "typical_volume": 12048.3,
        "trend": 35.851018,
        "fair_value": 39.24039,
        "relative_strength": -14.233019,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.21763,
        "energy": 21.694014,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.451745,
          37.167252,
          35.962896,
          35.80618
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.47,
        "volume": 21108,
        "typical_volume": 12566.6,
        "trend": 35.911104,
        "fair_value": 39.148528,
        "relative_strength": -7.839825,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.720173,
        "energy": 27.705779,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.553766,
          37.576697,
          36.255628,
          35.975147
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}