{ "ticker": { "uuid": "acd8c3a3-ea83-4786-adef-9f4b17b7d881", "symbol": "600655", "name": "Shanghai Yuyuan Tourist Mart (Group) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.332, "architecture_energy": 21.483, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.133, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.86, "rotation_up": 33.22, "upward_expansion": 21.32, "deceleration": 44.09, "rotation_down": 22.74, "downward_expansion": 55.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.523333, 4.441636, 4.519143, 4.616903 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 4.6, "trend_reference": 4.780667, "distance_from_trend": -0.037791, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.585895, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.176497, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.477798, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.177102, "excess_performance": -0.133898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037791, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061633, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.176497, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028885, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.104778, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072707, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.177102, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.993079, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70032202, "relative_activity": 1.155908, "balance": 0.993079, "dry_up": 1.30316, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052174, "annualized_volatility": 0.275668, "from_high_reference": -0.282371, "from_low_reference": 0.119221 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.780667, "fair_value_reference": 5.585895, "structural_low": 4.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.013158, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.01021, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.135642, "worst_return": -0.14359, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.053521, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.046862, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.10987, "worst_return": -0.143204, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.067873, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.069842, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.090056, "worst_return": -0.25617, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.756705, "energy": 63.977161, "activity_lines": [ 4.331333, 4.388182, 4.544619, 4.672495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.36, "volume": 82147709, "typical_volume": 59208942.15, "trend": 4.82, "fair_value": 5.610553, "relative_strength": -13.470575, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.276323, "energy": 47.865293, "activity_lines": [ 4.345333, 4.370364, 4.516905, 4.640667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.65, "volume": 76952901, "typical_volume": 59933882.2, "trend": 4.798333, "fair_value": 5.599492, "relative_strength": -7.581313, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.774902, "energy": 24.219689, "activity_lines": [ 4.46, 4.411273, 4.519619, 4.629699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.6, "volume": 70032202, "typical_volume": 60586331.1, "trend": 4.780667, "fair_value": 5.585895, "relative_strength": -10.477798, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.332173, "energy": 21.483159, "activity_lines": [ 4.523333, 4.441636, 4.519143, 4.616903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }