{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "acda109f-7a1e-46ba-98ff-e84bc8837d9f",
    "symbol": "RCL",
    "name": "Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.954,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 42.789,
    "architecture_energy": 30.731,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.205,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.724,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.47,
        "rotation_up": 45.46,
        "upward_expansion": 43.3,
        "deceleration": 41.75,
        "rotation_down": 34.35,
        "downward_expansion": 19.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5341.003255,
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        5144.904846,
        5100.08699
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 5570.0,
    "trend_reference": 5104.115072,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.091276,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4020.218126,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.385497,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.628281,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.064367,
    "excess_performance": -0.0097,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091276,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018581,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.385497,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070902,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026283,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213479,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064367,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.236056,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 339,
      "relative_activity": 0.526234,
      "balance": 0.236056,
      "dry_up": 0.60385,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049181,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.380245,
      "from_high_reference": -0.182747,
      "from_low_reference": 0.358941
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5104.115072,
      "fair_value_reference": 4020.218126,
      "structural_low": 4098.781063,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.031433,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001836,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.176979,
        "worst_return": -0.273219,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.088403,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003996,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.285712,
        "worst_return": -0.18217,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.031304,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041519,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.31547,
        "worst_return": -0.127105,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.195153,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.132317,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.591473,
        "worst_return": -0.522118,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
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        "return": 0.228142,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.091244,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08075,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.086618,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 2e-06,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
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        "return": -0.097675,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 3884.213488,
        "relative_strength": -1.717573,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 644.05,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4961.009766,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 5081.319352,
        "fair_value": 3971.344437,
        "relative_strength": -8.538419,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 8.651423,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5600.0,
        "volume": 970,
        "typical_volume": 641.3,
        "trend": 5101.026172,
        "fair_value": 3995.627738,
        "relative_strength": 2.849928,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.606573,
        "energy": 17.951907,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5570.0,
        "volume": 339,
        "typical_volume": 644.2,
        "trend": 5104.115072,
        "fair_value": 4020.218126,
        "relative_strength": 2.628281,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.789094,
        "energy": 30.731143,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}