{ "ticker": { "uuid": "acddb31c-b8a5-4c81-b68e-d98ea838430e", "symbol": "WINSOME", "name": "Winsome Yarns Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 88.526, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.86, "architecture_energy": 63.638, "architecture_maturity": 41.848, "architecture_confidence": 84.246, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.67, "rotation_up": 58.41, "upward_expansion": 81.17, "deceleration": 66.09, "rotation_down": 23.78, "downward_expansion": 10.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 803.333346, 789.333344, 763.841278, 721.075276 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 836.666687, "trend_reference": 668.444448, "distance_from_trend": 0.251662, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1116.025641, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.250316, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.243396, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.512048, "excess_performance": 0.555757, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.251662, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085333, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.250316, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.286244, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.272434, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136534, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.512048, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.002114, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 9.002114, "dry_up": 1.46548, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052712, "annualized_volatility": 0.341514, "from_high_reference": -0.045627, "from_low_reference": 0.578616 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 668.444448, "fair_value_reference": 1116.025641, "structural_low": 530.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.031293, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.002768, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.052356, "worst_return": -0.099503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.015789, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.031528, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.005263, "worst_return": -0.108527, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.30663, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.281488, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.047368, "worst_return": -0.565891, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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727.571437, 689.225812 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 783.333313, "volume": 936, "typical_volume": 428.5, "trend": 653.555556, "fair_value": 1169.401709, "relative_strength": 24.755076, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.502165, "energy": 35.842536, "activity_lines": [ 748.666671, 771.878793, 737.301593, 697.949825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 836.666687, "volume": 669, "typical_volume": 459.25, "trend": 661.333335, "fair_value": 1142.713675, "relative_strength": 29.004388, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.78718, "energy": 42.696073, "activity_lines": [ 777.111121, 781.393948, 751.126991, 709.763447 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 836.666687, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 457.7, "trend": 668.444448, "fair_value": 1116.025641, "relative_strength": 27.243396, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.859823, "energy": 63.638189, "activity_lines": [ 803.333346, 789.333344, 763.841278, 721.075276 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }