{ "ticker": { "uuid": "acf4e837-cb0e-4313-bee2-27be0e439350", "symbol": "KYNB", "name": "Kyntra Bio, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 73.98, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 13.328, "architecture_energy": 66.97, "architecture_maturity": 10.408, "architecture_confidence": 35.933, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.92, "rotation_up": 59.86, "upward_expansion": 55.49, "deceleration": 18.46, "rotation_down": 14.0, "downward_expansion": 59.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 127.900002, 125.320001, 122.815476, 124.027032 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 127.900002, "trend_reference": 128.556, "distance_from_trend": -0.005103, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 284.853974, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.550998, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.748481, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.089096, "excess_performance": -0.034429, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005103, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09654, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.550998, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.320624, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.187485, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119585, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.089096, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.027027, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.027027, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00691, "annualized_volatility": 0.246407, "from_high_reference": -0.431556, "from_low_reference": 0.082064 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 128.556, "fair_value_reference": 284.853974, "structural_low": 118.199997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.000286, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.012278, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.206897, "worst_return": -0.265759, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.161647, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.206421, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.074468, "worst_return": -0.611032, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.419677, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.50131, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.636525, "worst_return": -0.691379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.322778, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.013699, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.022572, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039157, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.091091, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": 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-66.0, "energy": 88.1, "activity_lines": [ 118.439999, 118.700908, 120.170951, 125.231225 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 127.900002, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 14.9, "trend": 132.536333, "fair_value": 449.459102, "relative_strength": -19.620244, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.491157, "energy": 36.736234, "activity_lines": [ 121.613334, 120.312363, 120.580713, 124.873828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 127.900002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14.9, "trend": 131.633, "fair_value": 395.599487, "relative_strength": -19.361259, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 27.718129, "energy": 53.515595, "activity_lines": [ 124.140001, 121.78, 121.050047, 124.574709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 127.900002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14.9, "trend": 130.729667, "fair_value": 341.739872, "relative_strength": -18.660588, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 40.086209, "energy": 59.005883, "activity_lines": [ 126.020002, 123.103819, 121.578952, 124.333871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 127.900002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14.9, "trend": 129.826334, "fair_value": 287.880256, "relative_strength": -19.025234, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 29.23775, "energy": 55.232235, "activity_lines": [ 127.273335, 124.283819, 122.167428, 124.151312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 127.900002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9.5, "trend": 128.556, "fair_value": 284.853974, "relative_strength": -18.748481, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.328419, "energy": 66.969847, "activity_lines": [ 127.900002, 125.320001, 122.815476, 124.027032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }