{ "ticker": { "uuid": "acfb211c-8487-406d-9ec6-13c460ceb2ec", "symbol": "TRT", "name": "Tirathai Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.341, "architecture_energy": 67.362, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.934, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.58, "rotation_up": 62.36, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 65.83, "rotation_down": 26.09, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.693333, 14.105455, 11.62019, 9.684417 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 14.8, "trend_reference": 7.412469, "distance_from_trend": 0.996636, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.738144, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.959184, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 141.909719, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 3.206389, "excess_performance": 3.014064, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.996636, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.850955, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.959184, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 2.305215, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.419097, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.172802, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 3.206389, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.388374, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21518700, "relative_activity": 2.084959, "balance": 5.388374, "dry_up": 1.462374, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109248, "annualized_volatility": 0.687165, "from_high_reference": -0.063291, "from_low_reference": 4.053131 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.412469, "fair_value_reference": 3.738144, "structural_low": 3.556494, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.08547, "positive_rate": 0.76, "directional_follow_through": 0.76, "median_excess_return": 0.076931, "regime_survival": 0.88, "best_return": 0.734481, "worst_return": -0.159091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.28648, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.294703, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 2.019438, "worst_return": -0.101604, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.620808, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.593729, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 2.609032, "worst_return": 0.099115, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.362375, "energy": 68.333967, "activity_lines": [ 14.546667, 13.724545, 11.042798, 9.183418 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.8, "volume": 21518700, "typical_volume": 10320920.0, "trend": 7.412469, "fair_value": 3.738144, "relative_strength": 141.909719, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.340908, "energy": 67.361961, "activity_lines": [ 14.693333, 14.105455, 11.62019, 9.684417 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }