{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad03440c-d307-4ae8-9972-1e8221c8867d", "symbol": "ZNTL", "name": "Zentalis Pharmaceuticals\u00a0Llc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 55.656, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.304, "architecture_energy": 34.505, "architecture_maturity": 27.798, "architecture_confidence": 82.79, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.27, "rotation_up": 51.21, "upward_expansion": 76.93, "deceleration": 61.7, "rotation_down": 20.14, "downward_expansion": 3.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.543333, 4.459455, 4.305571, 4.03572 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.22, "trend_reference": 3.6335, "distance_from_trend": 0.161415, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.195353, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.318844, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 35.999439, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.76569, "excess_performance": 0.578237, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.161415, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.326821, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.318844, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137036, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.359994, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.455287, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.76569, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.619983, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4467714, "relative_activity": 0.523365, "balance": 1.619983, "dry_up": 0.688015, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.182652, "annualized_volatility": 1.559107, "from_high_reference": -0.392806, "from_low_reference": 2.481848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.6335, "fair_value_reference": 6.195353, "structural_low": 2.07, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.052109, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.082002, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.156259, "worst_return": -0.360963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.033118, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.033028, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.76738, "worst_return": -0.513115, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.555774, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.524967, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.304813, "worst_return": -0.568329, "sufficient": false }, 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3.629129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.88, "volume": 5514989, "typical_volume": 8064027.95, "trend": 3.2825, "fair_value": 6.758622, "relative_strength": 69.108925, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.704055, "energy": 52.147225, "activity_lines": [ 4.367333, 4.157273, 4.051095, 3.739677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.11, "volume": 6830422, "typical_volume": 8204642.75, "trend": 3.406167, "fair_value": 6.623494, "relative_strength": 80.550948, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.174605, "energy": 76.367129, "activity_lines": [ 4.682, 4.340727, 4.180262, 3.857581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.33, "volume": 7297331, "typical_volume": 8403737.35, "trend": 3.505167, "fair_value": 6.47984, "relative_strength": 52.785599, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.754061, "energy": 67.033993, "activity_lines": [ 4.646, 4.369636, 4.22219, 3.917183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.74, "volume": 4897531, "typical_volume": 8424901.25, "trend": 3.6175, "fair_value": 6.341763, "relative_strength": 62.962894, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.237229, "energy": 64.092762, "activity_lines": [ 4.704667, 4.468, 4.293476, 3.996849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.22, "volume": 4467714, "typical_volume": 8536510.85, "trend": 3.6335, "fair_value": 6.195353, "relative_strength": 35.999439, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.303733, "energy": 34.50455, "activity_lines": [ 4.543333, 4.459455, 4.305571, 4.03572 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }