{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ad04c946-f1bc-41fe-9efc-30ea8a7ea44f",
    "symbol": "ZPRX",
    "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR Acc",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.258,
    "architecture_energy": 92.027,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.944,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.997,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.21,
        "rotation_up": 84.22,
        "upward_expansion": 99.15,
        "deceleration": 39.09,
        "rotation_down": 11.03,
        "downward_expansion": 21.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        66.396301
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 71.110001,
    "trend_reference": 65.430334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.086805,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 54.052788,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.315566,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.363325,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.088474,
    "excess_performance": 0.023834,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086805,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039413,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.315566,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056318,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043633,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027843,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088474,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.214323,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.177608,
      "balance": 4.214323,
      "dry_up": 1.337855,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021072,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.162185,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004898,
      "from_low_reference": 0.249517
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 54.052788,
      "structural_low": 56.93,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": 0.013172,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003359,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.112051,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.00218,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 97573.65,
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        "fair_value": 53.571955,
        "relative_strength": 6.764672,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 88966.4,
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        "fair_value": 53.72125,
        "relative_strength": 5.930125,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 71.356156,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 69.540001,
        "volume": 108405,
        "typical_volume": 86800.35,
        "trend": 65.194334,
        "fair_value": 53.880609,
        "relative_strength": 5.013729,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.837236,
        "energy": 78.257887,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 71.110001,
        "volume": 98469,
        "typical_volume": 83617.8,
        "trend": 65.430334,
        "fair_value": 54.052788,
        "relative_strength": 4.363325,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.258252,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}