{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad106bc9-4d54-424a-9581-c3bc5c8b0b2c", "symbol": "1101", "name": "TCC Group Holdings Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 92.523, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 15.889, "architecture_energy": 25.51, "architecture_maturity": 19.203, "architecture_confidence": 43.625, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.82, "rotation_up": 57.05, "upward_expansion": 43.97, "deceleration": 25.97, "rotation_down": 19.23, "downward_expansion": 18.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.176666, 23.87079, 23.745226, 23.745496 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.25, "trend_reference": 23.890648, "distance_from_trend": 0.015042, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.370339, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.114004, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.127246, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.010477, "excess_performance": -0.451849, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015042, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030339, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.114004, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060175, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.251272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082671, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.010477, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.671357, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 104687665, "relative_activity": 0.761225, "balance": 2.671357, "dry_up": 0.955837, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043929, "annualized_volatility": 0.197854, "from_high_reference": -0.069224, "from_low_reference": 0.238736 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.890648, "fair_value_reference": 27.370339, "structural_low": 21.654884, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.009524, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": -0.034404, "regime_survival": 0.411765, "best_return": 0.147826, "worst_return": -0.065282, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.069231, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.074043, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.104348, "worst_return": -0.191011, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.102493, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.140708, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.100067, 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"relative_strength": -25.663746, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.031471, "energy": 23.539424, "activity_lines": [ 23.308559, 23.413041, 23.50301, 23.632421 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.799999, "volume": 106042374, "typical_volume": 137649150.0, "trend": 23.698642, "fair_value": 27.544095, "relative_strength": -25.591447, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.665368, "energy": 19.907736, "activity_lines": [ 23.449778, 23.478705, 23.529135, 23.643366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.299999, "volume": 182254569, "typical_volume": 140064341.75, "trend": 23.773923, "fair_value": 27.490998, "relative_strength": -22.191469, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.269642, "energy": 5.695919, "activity_lines": [ 23.75, 23.626158, 23.605324, 23.682163 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.35, "volume": 132822626, "typical_volume": 138708148.0, "trend": 23.844425, "fair_value": 27.430989, "relative_strength": -23.066886, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.385826, "energy": 17.443223, "activity_lines": [ 24.003333, 23.764489, 23.683807, 23.719329 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 24.25, "volume": 104687665, "typical_volume": 137525274.25, "trend": 23.890648, "fair_value": 27.370339, "relative_strength": -25.127246, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.889247, "energy": 25.509811, "activity_lines": [ 24.176666, 23.87079, 23.745226, 23.745496 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }