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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.868, "architecture_energy": 53.056, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.742, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.1, "rotation_up": 46.96, "upward_expansion": 74.83, "deceleration": 82.67, "rotation_down": 27.99, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 1009.453988, 1018.251808, 964.886688, 903.185492 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1019.429993, "trend_reference": 819.073409, "distance_from_trend": 0.244614, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 601.508617, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.694789, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 32.718786, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.681191, "excess_performance": 0.735858, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.244614, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184176, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.694789, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17922, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.327188, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.286261, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.681191, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.86879, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 4.86879, "dry_up": 1.029511, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035998, "annualized_volatility": 0.486051, "from_high_reference": -0.055419, "from_low_reference": 0.681191 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 819.073409, "fair_value_reference": 601.508617, "structural_low": 606.373779, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.62496, "energy": 87.130507, "activity_lines": [ 1039.187321, 1002.526622, 926.298766, 861.869709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 977.539978, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 828.35, "trend": 791.536328, "fair_value": 592.50276, "relative_strength": 28.764296, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.062092, "energy": 71.755727, "activity_lines": [ 1018.219983, 1004.545593, 937.992082, 874.668151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1019.429993, "volume": 4137, "typical_volume": 1035.2, "trend": 805.304868, "fair_value": 597.005689, "relative_strength": 33.087965, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.119183, "energy": 62.62716, "activity_lines": [ 1011.843319, 1012.579989, 952.251057, 889.370968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1019.429993, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1035.2, "trend": 819.073409, "fair_value": 601.508617, "relative_strength": 32.718786, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.86815, "energy": 53.055675, "activity_lines": [ 1009.453988, 1018.251808, 964.886688, 903.185492 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }