{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad247fdc-1968-4df6-a6a5-4ce8e2b3b0f9", "symbol": "300035", "name": "Hunan Zhongke Electric Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.322, "architecture_energy": 70.759, "architecture_maturity": 51.204, "architecture_confidence": 95.855, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.21, "rotation_up": 25.52, "upward_expansion": 15.18, "deceleration": 44.19, "rotation_down": 55.42, "downward_expansion": 86.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.434, 13.876364, 15.78994, 17.31886 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.79, "trend_reference": 19.092975, "distance_from_trend": -0.277745, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.562456, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.053044, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.818736, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.349221, "excess_performance": -0.356621, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.277745, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12723, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.053044, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.475136, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.348187, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164325, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.349221, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.545273, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72704566, "relative_activity": 0.53661, "balance": 0.545273, "dry_up": 0.68073, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111109, "annualized_volatility": 0.629206, "from_high_reference": -0.521181, "from_low_reference": 0.163713 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.092975, "fair_value_reference": 14.562456, "structural_low": 11.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.032773, "positive_rate": 0.346154, "directional_follow_through": 0.653846, "median_excess_return": -0.016514, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.305315, "worst_return": -0.275089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.044388, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.035767, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.168816, "worst_return": -0.266019, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.163006, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.135339, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.570926, "worst_return": -0.415434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 92.550635, "activity_lines": [ 13.462667, 14.801187, 17.200025, 18.477027 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.19, "volume": 122949099, "typical_volume": 152175226.4, "trend": 19.614975, "fair_value": 14.526459, "relative_strength": -36.063283, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.4919, "energy": 86.271611, "activity_lines": [ 13.115333, 14.309198, 16.652647, 18.045825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.9, "volume": 103615408, "typical_volume": 146668295.7, "trend": 19.342975, "fair_value": 14.543664, "relative_strength": -31.206801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.49637, "energy": 84.999406, "activity_lines": [ 13.283333, 14.055401, 16.205127, 17.677117 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.79, "volume": 72704566, "typical_volume": 135488737.4, "trend": 19.092975, "fair_value": 14.562456, "relative_strength": -34.818736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.321995, "energy": 70.759275, "activity_lines": [ 13.434, 13.876364, 15.78994, 17.31886 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }