{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad296375-ad76-47f2-a3e0-c852c3af3475", "symbol": "ALXO", "name": "Alx Oncology Holdings", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 54.181, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.313, "architecture_energy": 30.64, "architecture_maturity": 25.981, "architecture_confidence": 81.897, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.18, "rotation_up": 53.8, "upward_expansion": 71.21, "deceleration": 48.17, "rotation_down": 13.93, "downward_expansion": 9.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.045, 1.999091, 1.925571, 1.929957 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.1, "trend_reference": 1.9095, "distance_from_trend": 0.099764, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.350978, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.51735, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.974817, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.02439, "excess_performance": -0.163063, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099764, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.102483, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.51735, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04666, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.089748, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.227118, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.02439, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.059253, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10706089, "relative_activity": 1.765438, "balance": 1.059253, "dry_up": 0.841853, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138158, "annualized_volatility": 0.741628, "from_high_reference": -0.210526, "from_low_reference": 2.494176 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.9095, "fair_value_reference": 4.350978, "structural_low": 1.37, "invalidation": "A renewed decline 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advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.070888, "energy": 28.910727, "activity_lines": [ 1.977667, 1.886727, 1.871048, 1.879677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.1, "volume": 4211539, "typical_volume": 5724630.4, "trend": 1.834833, "fair_value": 4.418221, "relative_strength": 18.120786, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.403404, "energy": 37.051884, "activity_lines": [ 2.054667, 1.925364, 1.889643, 1.898183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.03, "volume": 3237142, "typical_volume": 5729122.5, "trend": 1.858167, "fair_value": 4.393157, "relative_strength": 14.28708, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.89017, "energy": 44.187312, "activity_lines": [ 2.073667, 1.950909, 1.901619, 1.910774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.94, "volume": 2266129, "typical_volume": 5737638.5, "trend": 1.8845, "fair_value": 4.369952, "relative_strength": 7.130487, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.231065, "energy": 41.566094, "activity_lines": [ 2.029333, 1.960091, 1.905881, 1.916054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.1, "volume": 10706089, "typical_volume": 6064267.55, "trend": 1.9095, "fair_value": 4.350978, "relative_strength": 8.974817, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.312653, "energy": 30.640368, "activity_lines": [ 2.045, 1.999091, 1.925571, 1.929957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }