{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad323ccb-dc50-41ea-ae29-14b20baf658e", "symbol": "CHG", "name": "Chularat Hospital Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.323, "architecture_energy": 51.458, "architecture_maturity": 46.462, "architecture_confidence": 70.951, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.15, "rotation_up": 60.28, "upward_expansion": 82.66, "deceleration": 65.49, "rotation_down": 21.89, "downward_expansion": 6.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.601333, 1.589818, 1.522828, 1.496838 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.65, "trend_reference": 1.483965, "distance_from_trend": 0.111886, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.069523, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.202715, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.128339, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.049214, "excess_performance": -0.143111, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111886, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02238, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.202715, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150945, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.051283, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152875, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.049214, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.022738, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 219884200, "relative_activity": 2.30673, "balance": 2.022738, "dry_up": 1.561645, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049417, "annualized_volatility": 0.291506, "from_high_reference": -0.058842, "from_low_reference": 0.257514 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.483965, "fair_value_reference": 2.069523, "structural_low": 1.312113, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.032967, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.015761, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.043011, "worst_return": -0.069124, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.071819, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.050222, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.00464, "worst_return": -0.140608, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.140608, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.120111, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.032224, "worst_return": -0.197855, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.770824, "energy": 89.543971, "activity_lines": [ 1.593333, 1.529273, 1.466426, 1.464958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.63, "volume": 119134600, "typical_volume": 83485975.0, "trend": 1.470671, "fair_value": 2.08924, "relative_strength": -9.493789, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.269861, "energy": 89.012731, "activity_lines": [ 1.616, 1.556182, 1.484384, 1.47561 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.51, "volume": 162985600, "typical_volume": 86865500.0, "trend": 1.472765, "fair_value": 2.082121, "relative_strength": -15.787103, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.105607, "energy": 62.908672, "activity_lines": [ 1.585333, 1.557091, 1.490733, 1.478147 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.59, "volume": 93437800, "typical_volume": 87333930.0, "trend": 1.477526, "fair_value": 2.076205, "relative_strength": -9.753118, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.806535, "energy": 49.904307, "activity_lines": [ 1.583333, 1.57, 1.504309, 1.485711 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.65, "volume": 219884200, "typical_volume": 95322905.0, "trend": 1.483965, "fair_value": 2.069523, "relative_strength": -5.128339, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.323029, "energy": 51.458325, "activity_lines": [ 1.601333, 1.589818, 1.522828, 1.496838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }