{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad470792-a6af-4601-99b9-b474e0c53480", "symbol": "GPN", "name": "Global Payments Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 74.621, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.911, "architecture_energy": 77.883, "architecture_maturity": 17.036, "architecture_confidence": 72.381, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.54, "rotation_up": 80.96, "upward_expansion": 94.92, "deceleration": 39.15, "rotation_down": 9.14, "downward_expansion": 16.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 82.757333, 78.922655, 75.044564, 73.553919 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 86.12, "trend_reference": 72.495005, "distance_from_trend": 0.187944, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 95.157197, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.094971, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.388011, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.190322, "excess_performance": 0.064697, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.187944, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007253, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.094971, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.198344, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00388, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.211112, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.190322, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.047121, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21712680, "relative_activity": 1.281805, "balance": 2.047121, "dry_up": 1.030351, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0799, "annualized_volatility": 0.498016, "from_high_reference": -0.052064, "from_low_reference": 0.413309 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.495005, "fair_value_reference": 95.157197, "structural_low": 60.935015, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.030286, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.037018, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.036536, "worst_return": -0.067388, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.072763, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.111301, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.043268, "worst_return": -0.116793, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.166092, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.280024, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.097938, "worst_return": -0.364117, "sufficient": 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"energy": 59.219791, "activity_lines": [ 78.070667, 74.800601, 72.35163, 71.877164 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 84.08, "volume": 15775583, "typical_volume": 16902663.75, "trend": 72.256457, "fair_value": 95.392657, "relative_strength": 1.179613, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.667962, "energy": 74.224689, "activity_lines": [ 80.55, 76.776987, 73.638246, 72.659497 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 86.12, "volume": 21712680, "typical_volume": 16939148.05, "trend": 72.495005, "fair_value": 95.157197, "relative_strength": 0.388011, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.910687, "energy": 77.883074, "activity_lines": [ 82.757333, 78.922655, 75.044564, 73.553919 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }