{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad5792ab-db7f-4a1d-a373-464ee0e3e24d", "symbol": "BOW", "name": "Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.094, "architecture_energy": 58.892, "architecture_maturity": 38.536, "architecture_confidence": 85.239, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.12, "rotation_up": 67.09, "upward_expansion": 84.12, "deceleration": 59.69, "rotation_down": 18.92, "downward_expansion": 8.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.715333, 30.920727, 29.17981, 27.813398 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 33.45, "trend_reference": 26.375667, "distance_from_trend": 0.268214, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.00319, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.114881, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.088203, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.335863, "excess_performance": 0.210238, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.268214, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036331, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.114881, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.215315, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.110882, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.269479, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.335863, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.333779, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5004937, "relative_activity": 4.493918, "balance": 2.333779, "dry_up": 1.634364, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075267, "annualized_volatility": 0.337053, "from_high_reference": -0.046193, "from_low_reference": 0.577086 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.375667, "fair_value_reference": 30.00319, "structural_low": 21.21, "invalidation": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.877072, "energy": 77.870438, "activity_lines": [ 31.016667, 29.854, 28.168048, 27.041742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.59, "volume": 609620, "typical_volume": 915540.5, "trend": 26.092333, "fair_value": 29.973217, "relative_strength": 4.850029, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.186536, "energy": 53.183924, "activity_lines": [ 30.916667, 30.148182, 28.556762, 27.33871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.45, "volume": 5004937, "typical_volume": 1113713.55, "trend": 26.375667, "fair_value": 30.00319, "relative_strength": 11.088203, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.093719, "energy": 58.891722, "activity_lines": [ 31.715333, 30.920727, 29.17981, 27.813398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }