{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ad710ab8-09f5-4db2-99d0-59844399ce48", "symbol": "ACC", "name": "Advanced Connection Corporation Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.118, "architecture_energy": 66.646, "architecture_maturity": 28.449, "architecture_confidence": 91.451, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.1, "rotation_up": 14.23, "upward_expansion": 14.09, "deceleration": 39.08, "rotation_down": 68.97, "downward_expansion": 89.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.318, 0.328545, 0.35081, 0.363419 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.31, "trend_reference": 0.378333, "distance_from_trend": -0.180617, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.474965, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.347321, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.024667, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.184211, "excess_performance": -0.376536, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.180617, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064303, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.347321, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131869, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.340247, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245627, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.184211, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.504802, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10630000, "relative_activity": 0.593092, "balance": 0.504802, "dry_up": 0.632773, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116625, "annualized_volatility": 0.575128, "from_high_reference": -0.557143, "from_low_reference": 0.068966 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.378333, "fair_value_reference": 0.474965, "structural_low": 0.3, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.054212, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.04984, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.545455, "worst_return": -0.395604, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.097027, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.137751, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.568182, "worst_return": -0.411765, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.16, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.125061, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.3125, "worst_return": -0.519231, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 0.488683, "relative_strength": -31.176457, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.203248, "energy": 63.698131, "activity_lines": [ 0.344, 0.357636, 0.372571, 0.381656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.31, "volume": 12723500, "typical_volume": 18691125.0, "trend": 0.390667, "fair_value": 0.48567, "relative_strength": -35.719437, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.022519, "energy": 67.018734, "activity_lines": [ 0.330667, 0.346909, 0.365762, 0.37628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.33, "volume": 15480400, "typical_volume": 18424510.0, "trend": 0.386, "fair_value": 0.481824, "relative_strength": -31.488031, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.241458, "energy": 54.014989, "activity_lines": [ 0.328667, 0.341636, 0.361333, 0.372366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.32, "volume": 6530900, "typical_volume": 18251470.0, "trend": 0.382667, "fair_value": 0.478491, "relative_strength": -32.595768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.682647, "energy": 57.584566, "activity_lines": [ 0.324, 0.335273, 0.356381, 0.368108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.31, "volume": 10630000, "typical_volume": 17923025.0, "trend": 0.378333, "fair_value": 0.474965, "relative_strength": -34.024667, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.118415, "energy": 66.646393, "activity_lines": [ 0.318, 0.328545, 0.35081, 0.363419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }